Panthers vs Senators Prediction 4/5/25 NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Panthers vs Senators prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, April 5th at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Florida Panthers Betting Preview

The Florida Panthers are 44-27-4 this season after they lost to Toronto by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Florida led 1-0 early in the second period, but they allowed the next three goals and came up short on their comeback attempt for the loss. The Panthers out shot Toronto by a total of 31-26, won 52.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Florida got goals from Reinhart and Forsling, while Bobrovsky stopped 23 out of 26 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Panthers lost back to back games against the Canadiens by scores of 3-2 and 4-2. Florida has lost four of their last six games and they are currently third in the Atlantic standings with 92 points. Florida has scored 3.09 goals per game and they have allowed 2.72 goals against per game, while also going 24.2% on the power play and 80.9% on the penalty kill this season. Sam Reinhart has led Florida with 37 goals, 41 assists, and 204 shots on goal, while Aleksander Barkov has added 19 goals, 48 assists, and 142 shots on goal. Sergei Bobrovsky is 31-17-2 with a 2.45 goals against average and a .906 save percentage this season. 

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 40-29-6 this year after they defeated Tampa Bay by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Ottawa allowed Tampa Bay to cut their lead to 2-1 in the second period, but they played great defense the rest of the way for the win. The Senators were out shot by a total of 32-19, won 57.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Pinto and Sanderson, while Ullmark stopped 31 out of 32 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Senators lost to the Sabres by a score of 5-2 and the Penguins by a score of 1-0. Ottawa has won three of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the Atlantic standings with 86 points. Ottawa has scored 2.85 goals per game and they have allowed 2.84 goals against per game, while also going 23.3% on the power play and 77.6% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 21 goals, 51 assists, and 143 shots on goal, while Drake Batherson has added 21 goals, 38 assists, and 169 shots on goal. Linus Ullmark is 22-14-3 with a 2.75 goals against average and a .909 save percentage this year. 

Why the Senators will beat the Panthers

• The Senators have won each of their last four games as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Panthers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Senators’ last seven games.
• In each of the last five games between the Panthers and Senators at Canadian Tire Centre, the team leading after the second period has won the third period.

Why the Panthers will beat the Senators

• The Panthers have won seven of their last eight games at Canadian Tire Centre following a road loss.
• The Senators have lost four of their last five day games at Canadian Tire Centre following a win.
• The Panthers have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine road games against the Senators following a road loss.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Senators have lost the second period in each of their last four day games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Nine of the last 10 games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Panthers’ last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Senators’ last five day games against Eastern Conference opponents at Canadian Tire Centre have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last nine games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in eight of the Panthers’ last 10 road games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Jake Sanderson has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last three games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators’ last eight games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last seven games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Tkachuk has scored at least one goal in each of his last six appearances.
• Matthew Tkachuk has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances with the Panthers as road favorites.
• Aaron Ekblad has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances.

Panthers vs Senators Prediction 

Both of these teams look like they will be headed to the playoffs this season, but Ottawa needs to keep stacking points in order to keep their lead for the first wild card spot. The Panthers are 20-16-2 on the road this year, while the Senators are 22-11-2 at home. Florida has lost three games in a row and they have scored two goals or fewer in four straight. Ottawa picked up a nice win over TB in their last game, but they have only scored a total of four goals in their last three games. Both teams are very low scoring right now and I like the under in this one. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 5.5