| MATCHUP | Ottawa Senators | Washington Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 34-23-9 | 33-27-8 |
| Spread | -1.5 215 | +1.5 -265 |
| Moneyline | -125 | +105 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (100) | Under 6.5 (-120) |
| Where | Capital One Arena, Washington, DC | |
| When | Wednesday, March 18, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Washington Capitals Preview
The Capitals have 74 points this season with a 33-27-8 record, and are 34-34 ATS and 30-36 in over/under. They have a 20-11-4 home record and a 13-16-4 road record and are sitting 6th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 3-2 home shootout loss to the Bruins, and their previous three games were a 2-1 road win over the Sabres, a 4-1 road loss to the Flyers, and a 7-3 home win over the Flames.
Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 3.10 goals per game and are scoring 16.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.90 goals per game and are killing 79.4% of their opponent’s power plays.
Alex Ovechkin leads the Capitals with 51 points and 24 goals, while Dylan Strome leads the team in assists with 34. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 22-19-5 record, with 2.42 GAA and .912 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 9-7-3 record, with 3.29 GAA and .886 SV%.
Ottawa Senators Preview
The Senators have 77 points this season with a 34-23-9 record, and are 31-35 ATS and 37-29 in over/under. They have a 16-11-5 home record and a 18-12-4 road record and are sitting 6th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 7-4 home win over the Sharks, and their previous three games were a 2-0 home win over the Ducks, a 3-2 home loss to the Canadiens, and a 2-0 road win over the Canucks.
Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.36 goals per game and are scoring 23.4% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.11 goals per game and are killing 74% of their opponent’s power plays.
Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 70 points and 30 goals, adding a team-high 40 assists. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 21-9-7 record, with 2.81 GAA and .885 SV%. James Reimer is the backup goalie and he has a 4-3-1 record, with 2.53 GAA and .882 SV%.
Ottawa Senators @ Washington Capitals Betting Trends: March 18, 2026
Why the Washington Capitals will win
- The Capitals have won each of their last 11 home games after coming off a shootout.
- The Senators have lost two of their last three games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last seven games between the Senators and Capitals.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Capitals have won the third period in each of their last four home games after coming off overtime.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Senators have won seven of their last eight road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Capitals have lost eight of their last 10 games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The road team has covered the puck line in each of the last six games between the Senators and Capitals.
- The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Senators have won the second period in each of their last seven road games following a home win.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Senators’ last nine games against the Capitals following a home win have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Seven of the Capitals’ last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last 11 home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Senators’ last five games following a win.
Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts
- Ryan Leonard has scored a goal in each of the Capitals’ last four night games.
- Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Capitals’ last eight games as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Pierre-Luc Dubois has recorded 16 career assists against the Senators – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- Tim Stutzle has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last seven games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Senators’ last eight games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Dylan Cozens has scored two goals against the Capitals this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Washington Capitals rank 29th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.26%).
- The Washington Capitals rank T29th in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (9).
- The Ottawa Senators rank 30th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (73.96%).
- The Ottawa Senators rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.876).
Senators vs Capitals Prediction
The Senators have won both previous meetings against the Capitals this season, at home by 4-3 and on the road by 7-1 and are 3-2 in their last 5 visits in Washington.
In this Senators vs Capitals Prediction, the Senators are coming as -125 road favorites. The Senators have more points and overall wins than the Caps and have been better on the road, but the Caps have been playing by far their best hockey this season at home ice. The Caps are on the second leg of a back-to-back and are 2-5 in their last 7 games, while on the other hand, the Senators have been red-hot, with a 5-1 record in their last 6 games. The Senators have the Caps’ number this season and are catching them on the second leg of a back-to-back and in bad form, so I expect them to take care of business on the road. Take the Senators on the moneyline in this one.