Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4) vs Ottawa Senators (45-30-7)
Game Info: Tuesday, April 29, 2025 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)
The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -175 / Ottawa Senators +145 — Over/Under: 5.5
The Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Tuesday in the NHL playoffs Game 5 at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction. This article will include a Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Pick.
Ottawa Senators Betting Preview
The Ottawa Senators need a win to save their season and force a game 6 on Thursday. The Senators have made the playoffs three times since the 2013-14 season, and they’re in danger of being bounced in the first round twice during that span.
The Ottawa Senators are averaging 2.5 goals per game and are scoring 27.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Brady Tkachuk leads Ottawa with 2 goals, Claude Giroux has 2 assists and Dylan Cozens has 11 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 3.75 goals per game and are killing 61.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 15 goals on 99 shots faced.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs look for a win to make the second round of the playoffs for the third time since the 2012-13 season. The Maple Leafs have won 12 of their last 14 games.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.75 goals per game and are scoring 38.5 percent of their power-play opportunities. John Tavares leads Toronto with 3 goals, Mitch Marner has 6 assists, and Auston Matthews has 15 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.5 goals per game and are killing 72.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 10 goals on 102 shots faced.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Maple Leafs have won each of their last nine night games at Scotiabank Arena.
- The Senators have lost each of their last four road games.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games after coming off overtime.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last four games after coming off overtime.
- The Maple Leafs have won the third period in four of their last five games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the second period.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Senators have won five of their last seven games as road underdogs against the Maple Leafs.
- The road team has covered the puck line in eight of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have lost the third period in three of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents at Scotiabank Arena when trailing after the second period.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Auston Matthews has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances in Game 5s of an Eastern Conference First Round series.
- William Nylander has recorded at least one point in 12 of the Maple Leafs’ last 13 games as home favorites.
- Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games at Scotiabank Arena.
- William Nylander ranks 2nd in the league for Goals (45) this season.
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- Claude Giroux has recorded at least one point in eight of the Senators’ last nine games as underdogs against the Maple Leafs.
- Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Senators’ last eight games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Michael Amadio has scored two goals against the Maple Leafs this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report
The Ottawa Senators will be without Hayden Hodgson.
The Maple Leafs will be without Jani Hakanpaa. Joseph Woll is questionable with an illness.
Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
Give the Senators credit for finding a way to win game four and avoid the sweep. The last three games have gone into overtime, so a bounce here or a bounce there, and the Senators are looking at a different series. With that said, I’m still siding with the Maple Leafs. As I’ve said a lot over the last month or so, the Maple Leafs are playing great hockey with wins in 12 of their last 14 games, and they’re a team that’s hungry for rare playoff success. The Maple Leafs hear it every year that they can’t get it done, and this recent stretch suggests that this year could be different. The Scotiabank Arena will be rocking. Give me the Maple Leafs and the PL for max betting value.