Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction NHL Picks 11/12/24

In this article, we will formulate an Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, November 12th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 7-7-0 this year after they defeated Boston in overtime by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Ottawa trailed 2-1 in the second period, but they were able to force overtime and get the win just 21 seconds into the overtime. The Senators outshot Boston by a total of 34-16, won 52.9% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Amadio, Norris, and Tkachuk, while Ullmark stopped 14 out of 16 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Senators lost to the Islanders by a score of 4-2 and the Sabres by a score of 5-1. Ottawa has scored 3.43 goals per game and they have allowed 3.14 goals against per game, while also going 31.1% on the power play and 76.9% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with six goals, 13 assists, and 25 shots on goal, while Linus Ullmark is 3-4-0 with a 2.87 goals-against average and a .890 save percentage. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 9-5-2 this season after they defeated Montreal by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Toronto scored the first three goals in the game and they were never in danger of losing. The Maple Leafs outshot Montreal by a total of 27-21, won 56.5% of the face-offs, and went 2-4 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Marner, Nylander, Tavares, and Timmins, while Woll stopped 20 out of 21 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Maple Leafs defeated Detroit by a score of 3-1 and Boston by a score of 4-1. Toronto has scored 3.13 goals per game and they have allowed 2.56 goals against per game, while also going 20.8% on the power play and 83.9% on the penalty kill this season. Mitch Marner has led Toronto with four goals, 16 assists, and 44 shots on goal, while Anthony Stolarz is 6-2-2 with a 2.00 goals-against average and a .930 save percentage this year. 

Why the Maple Leafs will beat the Senators

• The Senators have lost eight of their last nine night games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
• The home team has won seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven night games after coming off overtime.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games at Scotiabank Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have won the first period in each of their last four games as favorites following a win.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games at Scotiabank Arena following a win has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the last four games between two teams from the Atlantic Division has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Senators’ last six road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Senators’ last eight night games at Scotiabank Arena.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the last seven games between the Senators and Maple Leafs.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games.
• William Nylander has scored at least one goal in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games against the Senators at Scotiabank Arena.
• Mitch Marner has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Brady Tkachuk has recorded an assist in each of the Senators’ last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• David Perron has scored a goal in three of his last four road appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Brady Tkachuk has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators’ last six games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 

Toronto comes into this matchup on a three-game winning streak and they have allowed a total of two goals in those three wins. The Maple Leafs are 7-2-0 at home, while the Senators are just 2-5-0 on the road. Ottawa has lost two of their last three games but did just beat Boston in overtime last time out. Ottawa has been the slightly higher-scoring team this year, but Toronto has been great on defense. Take the Maple Leafs to get another strong defensive effort here and get the win.