| MATCHUP | Ottawa Senators | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 18-13-5 | 16-15-5 |
| Spread | -1.5 195 | +1.5 -238 |
| Moneyline | -130 | +110 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (110) | Under 6.5 (-130) |
| Where | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON | |
| When | Saturday, December 27, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Ottawa Senators Betting Preview
The Ottawa Senators beat the Bruins, lost to the Sabres, and they play the Blue Jackets next. The Senators have won 5 of their last 7 games.
The Ottawa Senators are averaging 3.22 goals per game and are scoring 26.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Tim Stutzle leads Ottawa with 18 goals, Drake Batherson has 22 assists and Dylan Cozens has 83 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 3.14 goals per game and are killing 71.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 78 goals on 673 shots faced, while Leevi Merilainen has given up 30 goals on 235 shots.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Stars, beat the Penguins, and they play the Red Wings next. The Maple Leafs have lost 5 of their last 7 games.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.19 goals per game and are scoring 13 percent of their power-play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 14 goals, William Nylander has 27 assists, and John Tavares has 98 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.33 goals per game and are killing 83.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 41 goals on 353 shots faced, while Dennis Hildeby has given up 32 goals on 349 shots.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The home team has won each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games.
- The Senators have lost 13 of their last 22 games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last five games as underdogs against the Senators.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as road favorites after coming off overtime.
- The Senators have lost the third period in five of their last six games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents when trailing after the second period.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last four games at Scotiabank Arena following a win.
- The favorites have won each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games.
- The Senators have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games at Scotiabank Arena.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight night games.
- The Maple Leafs have lost the third period in five of their last six night games.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last five night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Six of the Senators’ last seven road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Four of the last five night games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in nine of the Senators’ last 10 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games against the Senators.
- Auston Matthews has recorded 28 career assists against the Senators – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- Brady Tkachuk has scored a goal in four of the Senators’ last five games against the Maple Leafs.
- David Perron has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last five games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Tim Stutzle has scored 11 career goals against the Maple Leafs – most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 26th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.33).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 32nd in the league for power play goals this season (12).
- The Ottawa Senators rank 8th in the league for goals per game this season (3.22).
- The Ottawa Senators rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.881).
Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
An argument can be made the Senators have been the better team this season, and they’ve won 10 games on the road. I’m still not ready to give up on the Maple Leafs, and maybe the break was just what this squad needed to get a run going. The Maple Leafs have also been at their best at home, where 11 of their 16 wins have come. The Maple Leafs have won 4 of the last 6 games against the Senators, often having great success defensively in those games. The Maple Leafs need to take advantage of these home games if they’re going to keep pace in the standings. I’ll take the cheap price with the home team on Saturday.