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Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction 3/30/25 NHL Picks

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Pittsburgh Penguins (29-34-11) vs Ottawa Senators (39-28-5)

March 30, 2025 at 05:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Penguins +120 / Ottawa Senators -142 — Over/Under: 6.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Senators vs Penguins prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, March 30, at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators (39-28-5, 30-42 ATS) are playing well lately after winning nine of the previous 12 games, including the last two over the Detroit Red Wings and Columbus Blue Jackets. The Senators will play this road game in Pittsburgh and then will return home for a four-game stay. Ottawa is 4th in the Atlantic Division Standings with 83 points, nine behind the first-placed Maple Leafs.

The Senators score 2.92 goals per game on average (19th), while they concede 2.87 GPG (13th). This season, Tim Stutzle leads the team with 71 points (21 G and 50 A). Drake Batherson has 59 points (21 G and 38 A), while Brady Tkachuk chips in with 55 points (29 G and 26 A).

Linus Ullmark (21-13-3) is expected to start for the Senators at the goal on Sunday against the Penguins. The 31-year-old is allowing 2.79 goals per game this year with a .909 SV% and three shutouts.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins (29-34-11, 36-38 ATS) went through a nice period during which they recorded four consecutive wins but then lost four of the next five games, including all three on their three-game road trip. The Penguins lost to the Panthers, Lightning, and Sabres, conceding 17 goals in the process. Pittsburgh is 7th in the Metropolitan Division Standings with 69 points, the same as the Flyers and 34 behind the leaders Capitals.

The Penguins average 2.92 goals per game this year (18th), while they allow 3.62 GPG (31st). Sidney Crosby leads the team with 80 points (26 G and 54 A). Rickard Rakell contributes 63 points (32 G and 31 A), while Bryan Rust has 55 points (26 G and 29 A).

Tristan Jarry (12-11-5) will likely take his place in the cage for the Penguins on Sunday against the Senators. The 29-year-old is allowing 3.33 goals per game this year with a .888 SV% and no shutouts.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Penguins’ last seven games at PPG Paints Arena against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Six of the Senators’ last seven night games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Senators’ last eight games at PPG Paints Arena.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 30th in the league in save percentage this season (.882).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 29th in the league for shots against per game this season (30.5).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank T4th in the league in short-handed goals this season (9).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 26th in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (0.96).

Senators vs Penguins Prediction

The Senators won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last six. This season, the Senators won both meetings: 3-2 in overtime in Ottawa and 5-0 in Pittsburgh. The Penguins’ defense is struggling right now; they allowed 17 goals in the last three games, and even though the Sens have a below-average offense, I think the visitors have a good chance here to score 4+ goals. Ottawa managed to do that in four of the last seven road games, so I think the Senators can do it on Sunday against the second-worst defense in the NHL. Go with Over.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Over 6

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