| MATCHUP | Ottawa Senators | Edmonton Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 29-22-8 | 29-24-8 |
| Spread | +1.5 -245 | -1.5 200 |
| Moneyline | -102 | -118 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (-130) | Under 6.5 (110) |
| Where | Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB | |
| When | Tuesday, March 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
The Ottawa Senators and Edmonton Oilers meet Tuesday in NHL action at Rogers Place. Here’s an Ottawa Senators vs. Edmonton Oilers prediction. This article will include an Ottawa Senators vs. Edmonton Oilers pick.
Ottawa Senators Betting Preview
The Ottawa Senators lost to the Red Wings and beat the Maple Leafs, and they play the Flames next. The Senators have won 6 of their last 8 games.
The Ottawa Senators are averaging 3.29 goals per game and are scoring 23.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Tim Stutzle leads Ottawa with 28 goals, Jake Sanderson has 37 assists and Brady Tkachuk has 153 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 3.19 goals per game and are killing 73.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 89 goals on 773 shots faced, while Leevi Merilainen has given up 64 goals on 457 shots.
Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview
The Edmonton Oilers beat the Kings and lost to the Sharks, and they play the Hurricanes next. The Oilers have lost 5 of their last 6 games.
The Edmonton Oilers are averaging 3.52 goals per game and are scoring 32.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Connor McDavid leads Edmonton with 35 goals, Leon Draisaitl has 54 assists, and Evan Bouchard has 168 shots on goal. Defensively, the Edmonton Oilers are allowing 3.33 goals per game and are killing 76.9 percent of their opponents’ power plays. Tristan Jarry has given up 40 goals on 295 shots faced, and Calvin Pickard has allowed 53 goals on 410 shots.
Why the Edmonton Oilers will win
- The Senators have lost each of their last eight games as road underdogs following a road win.
- The Oilers have won eight of their last nine games against the Senators at Rogers Place.
- The home team has covered the puck line in five of the last six games between the Senators and Oilers.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five night games following a road win.
- The Senators have lost the second period in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Oilers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The road team has won four of the Senators’ last five games.
- The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in 11 of their last 12 games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in six of the Oilers’ last seven games.
- The Senators have won the third period in six of their last seven games as underdogs when leading after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Six of the Oilers’ last seven home games following a road loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Three of the Senators’ last four games against the Oilers following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last 10 games as favorites.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last eight Tuesday night games.
Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts
- Zach Hyman has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances against the Senators.
- Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one assist in nine of the Oilers’ last 10 games as favorites.
- Connor McDavid ranks 1st in the league for assists (68) this season.
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- Tim Stützle has scored a goal in three of the Senators’ last four games as underdogs.
- Tim Stützle has recorded at least one assist in four of the Senators’ last five games against Pacific Division opponents.
- Tim Stutzle has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances—the [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Edmonton Oilers rank 26th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.33).
- The Edmonton Oilers rank 26th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (76.92%).
- The Ottawa Senators rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.874).
- The Ottawa Senators rank 2nd in the league for shots against per game this season (24.4).
Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction
The Senators and the plus money are worth a look as they are playing the better hockey right now. However, the Oilers have won 8 of the last 10 games against the Senators. Also, this will be the Oilers’ first home game in a month. The crowd should bring the energy in hopes of getting this team back on track. Also, somebody like McDavid finally gets to sleep in his own bed after being on the road all month. It’s the little things that make the difference. The line is cheap. Give me the Oilers for a much-needed win.