Detroit Red Wings (33-32-6) vs Ottawa Senators (37-28-5)
March 27, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Red Wings +110 / Ottawa Senators -130 — Over/Under: 5.5
The Ottawa Senators and the Detroit Red Wings meet on Thursday in NHL action from the Little Caesars Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red Wings prediction.
Matchup History
The Ottawa Senators won the most recent meeting between these two teams by a final score of 2-1 in Ottawa back on March 10th, 2025. The win made the home team 3-0 in the head-to-head meetings so far this season.
Ottawa Senators Recap
The Ottawa Senators come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Buffalo Sabres last time out to slip to 37-28-5 on the year. After this game, Ottawa will head home for a game against the Columbus Blue Jackets.
Senators Drop Three Of Their Last Four Games
Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 70 points, including 20 goals and 50 assists, while Brady Tkachuk has 55 points with a team-high 29 goals and 26 assists. Drake Batherson has 57 points with 20 goals and 37 assists, and Claude Giroux has 14 goals and 32 assists, while Jake Sanderson also has 48 points with 7 goals and 41 assists so far this season. Linus Ullmark is 19-13-3 with a 2.78 GAA and a .909 save percentage in goal for Ottawa so far this year, while Mads Sogaard is 1-1 with a 5.24 GAA and a .800 save percentage, and Anton Forsberg is 9-11-1 with a 2.75 GAA and an .897 save percentage as well this season. Leevi Merilainen has also gone 8-3-1 with a 1.99 GAA and a .925 save percentage this season.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Red Wings have lost eight of their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Senators have won five of their last six games against the Red Wings.
- The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five night games.
- The favorites have covered the puck line in three of the Red Wings’ last four games.
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- Brady Tkachuk has scored the first goal in three of the Senators’ last four games as road favorites.
- David Perron has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Red Wings.
- David Perron has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances at Little Caesars Arena.
- Brady Tkachuk has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators’ last 10 games as favorites against the Red Wings.
Detroit Red Wings Recap
The Detroit Red Wings will be out to bounce back from their 5-2 loss at the hands of the Colorado Avalanche last time out to sit at 33-32-6 on the year. After this game, the Red Wings will take on the Boston Bruins on the road.
Red Wings Drop 7th Of Their Last 10
Lucas Raymond has a team-high 70 points, including 24 goals and 46 assists, while Alex DeBrincat has 61 points with 33 goals and 28 assists. Dylan Larkin has 62 points with 28 goals, while Moritz Seider has 39 points with 32 assists. Patrick Kane also has 50 points with 18 goals and 32 assists so far this season. In goal for Detroit, Cam Talbot is 17-16-3 and has a 3.02 GAA with an .899 save percentage, while Alex Lyon is 12-9-1 with a 2.76 GAA and an .899 save percentage as well on the year. Petr Mrazek also has a 2-2 record with a 2.51 GAA and a .901 save percentage so far this season.
Why the Detroit Red Wings will win
- The Senators have lost each of their last six games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The underdogs have won eight of the Senators’ last nine games at Little Caesars Arena.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine games as favorites following a road loss.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last seven games between the Senators and Red Wings.
Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts
- Patrick Kane has scored at least one goal in five of his last six home appearances against the Senators.
- Alex DeBrincat has recorded an assist in five of his six previous home appearances against former teams.
- Vladimir Tarasenko has recorded a point in each of his last eight Thursday appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Moritz Seider ranks 1st in the Atlantic Division for average time on ice (25:03) this season.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the last five games between the Senators and Red Wings have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Senators’ last five night games at Little Caesars Arena have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Three of the last four games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red Wings Prediction
I’m on the Red Wings in this game. I get the case to be made for Ottawa, who has been playing the better hockey for the majority of the second half of the season, as Detroit has started to fall apart. However, we’re at the point of now or never for Detroit, and during this slide, the only place where the Red Wings have really had success has been at home. The home team has won all three meetings so far this season, and I think Detroit makes it four for four in a must-win matchup here. Give me Detroit.