Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction 1/18/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Senators vs Red Wings Prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, January 18th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Detroit Red Wings Preview

The Red Wings have 62 points this season with a 29-16-4 record, and are 25-24 ATS and 25-24 in over/under. They have a 17-8-1 home record and a 12-8-3 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-2 home win over the Sharks, and their previous three games were a 3-0 road loss to the Bruins, a 4-3 home overtime win over the Hurricanes, and a 4-0 road win over the Canadiens.

Offensively, the Red Wings are averaging 3.08 goals per game and are scoring 24.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.02 goals per game and are killing 80.0% of their opponent’s power plays.

Lucas Raymond leads the Red Wings with 52 points and 38 assists, while Alex DeBrincat leads the team in goals with 25. John Gibson is the starting goalie for the Red Wings, and he has a 18-9-1 record, with 2.73 GAA and .903 SV%. Cam Talbot is the backup goalie and he has a 11-7-3 record, with 2.95 GAA and .892 SV%.

Ottawa Senators Preview

The Senators have 49 points this season with a 22-19-6 record, and are 17-29 ATS and 27-19 in over/under. They have a 11-9-3 home record and a 11-10-2 road record and are sitting 8th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 6-5 home overtime loss to the Canadiens, and their previous three games were a 8-4 road win over the Rangers, a 2-1 home win over the Canucks, and a 3-2 home loss to the Panthers.

Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.26 goals per game and are scoring 23.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.38 goals per game and are killing 71.9% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 49 points and 21 goals, while Jake Sanderson leads the team in assists with 29. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 14-8-5 record, with 2.95 GAA and .881 SV%. Leevi Merilainen is the backup goalie and he has a 8-10-1 record, with 3.51 GAA and .860 SV%.

Ottawa Senators @ Detroit Red Wings Betting Trends: January 18, 2026

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Red Wings have won each of their last eight games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Senators have lost each of their last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last six games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The favorites have won the second period in each of the last four games between the Senators and Red Wings.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Red Wings.
• The Red Wings have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last nine games between the Senators and Red Wings.
• The Red Wings have lost the third period in each of their last six games as home favorites following a home win.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Red Wings’ last eight games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Senators’ last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight Sunday night games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last nine games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last nine games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Patrick Kane has scored at least one goal in six of his last seven home appearances against the Senators.
• Lucas Raymond has recorded at least one assist in each of the Red Wings’ last six night games at Little Caesars Arena.
• Dylan Larkin ranks T2nd in the league for Game Winning Goals (6) this season.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Drake Batherson has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Jake Sanderson has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Senators’ last nine games.
• Brady Tkachuk has recorded at least two shots in each of his last 29 appearances – longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Detroit Red Wings rank 6th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.68%).
• The Detroit Red Wings have recorded the largest comeback win this season – trailed by four goals vs Blues on October, 25.
• The Ottawa Senators rank 31st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (71.94%).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 29th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.38).

Senators vs Red Wings Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Red Wings won 5-3 on the road, but the Senators are 6-1 in their 7 meetings before that. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Senators vs Red Wings Prediction, the Red Wings are coming as -135 home favorites. The Red Wings have been the better team this season with more points and overall wins and have been very strong at home. They are 5-1 in their last 6 games and are 7-1 in their last 8 home games, while on the other hand, the Senators are 2-5 in their last 7 games and are on the second leg of a back-to-back, after playing an overtime game last night in Ottawa. On top of that, their starter goalie is unavailable for this game, so they will probably go with a third-stringer between the pipes. Take the Red Wings to get the job done at home in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Detroit Red Wings ML