Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars Prediction 11/30/2025 Today’s NHL Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Nov 28, 2025; Dallas, Texas, USA; Dallas Stars left wing Jason Robertson (21) skates against the Utah Mammoth during the second period at the American Airlines Center. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Ottawa Senators
Dallas Stars
Team Records
12-8-4
16-5-4
Spread
+1.5 -218
-1.5 180
Moneyline
+120
-142
Total
Over 5.5 (-130)
Under 5.5 (110)
Where
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
When
Sunday, November 30, 2025
Time
06:00 PM EST
TV
ESPN+
The Ottawa Senators and the Dallas Stars meet Sunday in NHL action from the American Airlines Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Ottawa Senators vs. Dallas Stars prediction.
Ottawa Senators Recap
The Ottawa Senators come into this game looking to rebound from their 4-3 loss at the hands of the St. Louis Blues last time out to sit at 12-8-4 this season. After this game, Ottawa will head on the road for a game against the Montreal Canadiens to finish their road trip.
Senators Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 23 points coming on a team-high 11 goals and 12 assists while Drake Batherson has 21 points with 8 goals and 13 assists. Shane Pinto has 18 points with 12 goals and 6 assists while Dylan Cozens has 16 points with 8 goals and 8 assists. Claude Giroux has 16 points with 4 goals and 12 assists and Jake Sanderson has 19 points with 4 goals and a team-high 15 assists. Linus Ullmark has gone 9-5-4 with a 2.94 GAA and an .880 save percentage in goal for Ottawa while Leevi Merilainen has gone 3-3 with a 3.40 GAA and an .874 save percentage as well this season.
Dallas Stars Recap
The Dallas Stars come into this game looking to add on to their 4-3 win over Utah last time out to sit at 16-5-4 this season. After this game, the Stars will head on the road for a game against the New York Rangers.
Stars Win 3 Straight
Jason Robertson leads the Stars in scoring with 32 points including a team-high 15 goals and 17 assists while Mikko Rantanen has 30 points with 10 goals and a team-high 20 assists this season. Wyatt Johnston has 26 points with 13 goals and 13 assists and Miro Heiskanen has 22 points with 19 assists as well this season. Roope Hintz has 20 points with 8 goals and 12 assists and Tyler Seguin has 17 points with 7 goals and 10 assists. Jake Oettinger has gone 11-4-2 with a 2.76 GAA and a .900 save percentage in goal for Dallas while Casey DeSmith has gone 5-1-2 with a 2.20 GAA and a .919 save percentage so far this season.
Ottawa Senators @ Dallas Stars Betting Trends: November 30, 2025
Why the Dallas Stars will win
The Stars have won each of their last 11 Sunday home games.
The Senators have lost six of their last seven games against Central Division opponents.
The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games against Central Division opponents.
The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
The Senators have lost the second period in each of their last six games when leading after the first period.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
The Stars have lost each of their last four games as home favorites following a home win.
The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Senators and Stars.
The underdogs have covered the puck line in 13 of the Senators’ last 14 games.
The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 11 home games.
The Senators have won the second period in each of their last four road games against Central Division opponents.
Total Goals Facts
Each of the Senators’ last four road games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
Each of the Stars’ last three home games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last eight Sunday at American Airlines Center.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last three road games against the Stars.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
Matt Duchene has scored the last goal in three of his last four home appearances against the Senators.
Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last nine Sunday home games.
Jason Robertson has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last 10 Sunday night games.
Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Stars’ last nine home games.
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
David Perron has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against the Stars.
David Perron has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against the Stars.
Brady Tkachuk has recorded an assist in five of his last six appearances against the Stars.
Matchup/League Facts
The Dallas Stars rank 1st in the league in power play percentage this season (31.76%).
The Dallas Stars are one of four teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
The Ottawa Senators rank 31st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (71.01%).
The Ottawa Senators rank 4th in the league for shots against per game this season (25.6).
Ottawa Senators vs. Dallas Stars Prediction
I’m on the Stars in this one. The Senators have been respectable during this road trip, but this is going to be the toughest game of the road trip by far and I just think the Dallas Stars’ form is too good to go against here. The Stars are just hot and are one of the hottest teams in the league and I think that Dallas keeps it rolling at home here. Give me Dallas.
