| MATCHUP | Ottawa Senators | Calgary Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 29-22-9 | 24-29-7 |
| Spread | -1.5 154 | +1.5 -185 |
| Moneyline | -162 | +136 |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-135) | Under 5.5 (114) |
| Where | Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, AB | |
| When | Thursday, March 5, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Calgary Flames Preview
The Flames have 55 points this season with a 24-29-7 record, and are 31-29 ATS and 28-29 in over/under. They have a 15-11-4 home record and a 9-18-3 road record and are sitting 7th in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 6-1 home loss to the Stars, and their previous three games were a 3-2 road shootout loss to the Ducks, a 2-0 road loss to the Kings, and a 4-1 road win over the Sharks.
Offensively, the Flames are averaging 2.45 goals per game and are scoring 16.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.97 goals per game and are killing 82.4% of their opponent’s power plays.
Nazem Kadri leads the Flames with 41 points and 29 assists, while Matt Coronato leads the team in goals with 14. Dustin Wolf is the starting goalie for the Flames, and he has a 17-23-3 record, with 2.97 GAA and .899 SV%. Devin Cooley is the backup goalie and he has a 7-6-4 record, with 2.28 GAA and .922 SV%.
Ottawa Senators Preview
The Senators have 67 points this season with a 29-22-9 record, and are 26-34 ATS and 35-25 in over/under. They have a 14-10-5 home record and a 15-12-4 road record and are sitting 6th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 5-4 road overtime loss to the Oilers, and their previous three games were a 5-2 road win over the Maple Leafs, a 2-1 home overtime loss to the Red Wings, and a 2-1 road overtime win over the Flyers.
Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.30 goals per game and are scoring 23.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.22 goals per game and are killing 72.4% of their opponent’s power plays.
Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 65 points and 28 goals, adding a team-high 37 assists. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 17-8-7 record, with 2.86 GAA and .884 SV%. James Reimer is the backup goalie and he has a 3-3-1 record, with 2.90 GAA and .870 SV%.
Ottawa Senators @ Calgary Flames Betting Trends: March 5, 2026
Why the Calgary Flames will win
- The Senators have lost 11 of their last 18 games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
- The home team has won six of the last seven games between the Senators and Flames.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Flames have covered the puck line in each of their last four games against the Senators.
- The Senators have lost the third period in seven of their last eight road games against Pacific Division opponents when leading after the second period.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Flames have lost eight of their last nine night games at Scotiabank Saddledome.
- The favorites have won each of the last six games between the Senators and Flames.
- The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The road team has covered the puck line in four of the Senators’ last five games.
- The road team has won the second period in each of the Senators’ last four games.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Senators’ last eight road games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Twelve of the Flames’ last 15 games as underdogs following a loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last 10 games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Senators and Flames.
Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts
- Joel Farabee has scored at least one goal in six of the Flames’ last eight games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Nazem Kadri has recorded at least one assist in four of the Flames’ last five games as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- Brady Tkachuk has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances against the Flames.
- Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last four games as favorites against the Flames.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Calgary Flames rank 32nd in the league for goals per game this season (2.45).
- The Calgary Flames rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.11%).
- The Ottawa Senators rank 30th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (72.41%).
- The Ottawa Senators rank 8th in the league in power play percentage this season (23.71%).
Senators vs Flames Prediction
The Senators won their previous meeting against the Flames this season by 4-3 in a shootout at home and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
In this Senators vs Flames Prediction, the Senators are coming as – road favorites. The Senators have been the better team this season but have lost three of their last five games and are facing a Flames squad that has been playing its best hockey at home. The Flames have three consecutive losses and are 2-4 in their last 6 home games but are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings in Calgary against the Senators, so I cannot pick a side here. The Flames have been terrible offensively lately, having scored just three total goals in their last three games, while the Senators have been playing good defense, having allowed 2 goals or less in three of their last four. Take the under 6 in this one.