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Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction 3/25/25 NHL Picks

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Buffalo Sabres (28-35-6) vs Ottawa Senators (37-27-5)

March 25, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Buffalo Sabres +124 / Ottawa Senators -148 — Over/Under: 6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Ottawa Senators and the Buffalo Sabres meet on Tuesday in NHL action from the KeyBank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres prediction.

Matchup History

The Buffalo Sabres have won both meetings so far this season, first at home on November 5th, 2024, by a final score of 5-1, before a 4-0 win in Ottawa on January 9th, 2025. The wins made it five wins in the last seven head-to-head meetings for the Sabres in this matchup.

Ottawa Senators Recap

The Ottawa Senators come into this game looking to add on to their 3-2 win over the New Jersey Devils last time out to improve to 37-27-5 on the year. After this game, Ottawa will head on the road for a game against the Detroit Red Wings.

Senators Win 7th In Their Last 9 Games

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 70 points, including 20 goals and 50 assists, while Brady Tkachuk has 54 points with a team-high 28 goals and 26 assists. Drake Batherson has 56 points with 20 goals and 36 assists, Claude Giroux has 14 goals and 31 assists, while Jake Sanderson also has 48 points with 7 goals and 41 assists so far this season. Linus Ullmark is 19-13-3 with a 2.78 GAA and a .909 save percentage in goal for Ottawa so far this year, while Mads Sogaard is 1-1 with a 5.24 GAA and a .800 save percentage, and Anton Forsberg is 9-10-1 with a 2.74 GAA and an .898 save percentage as well this season. Leevi Merilainen has also gone 8-3-1 with a 1.99 GAA and a .925 save percentage this season.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

  • The Sabres have lost each of their last four games following a road win.
  • The Senators have won six of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games following a road win.
  • The Senators have covered the puck line in four of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Michael Amadio has scored a goal in four of the Senators’ last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • David Perron has recorded at least one point in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a favorite against the Sabres.
  • Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Senators’ last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Shane Pinto has the most Shorthanded Goals for the Senators this season (3).

Buffalo Sabres Recap

The Buffalo Sabres come into this game looking to add on to their 5-3 win over Winnipeg last time out to improve to 28-35-6 on the year. After this game, Buffalo will welcome the Pittsburgh Penguins to town.

Sabres Looking To Play Spoiler

Tage Thompson leads the Sabres with 60 points, including a team-leading 34 goals along with 26 assists, while Alex Tuch is right behind with 51 points, including 27 goals and 24 assists. JJ Peterka has 54 points with 22 goals and 32 assists, and Rasmus Dahlin has 54 points (13 goals and 41 assists). Jason Zucker’s also added 46 points with 19 goals and 27 assists. Devon Levi has gone 2-7 in net for the Sabres with a 4.12 GAA and an .872 save percentage, while Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is 23-22-4 with a 3.16 GAA and an .888 save percentage as well on the year. James Reimer is 3-6-2 with a 2.74 GAA and a .904 save percentage.

Why the Buffalo Sabres will win

  • The Sabres have won each of their last seven games as home underdogs.
  • The Senators have lost each of their last five games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Sabres’ last nine games at KeyBank Center.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

  • Ryan McLeod has scored at least one goal in five of the Sabres’ last six games as home underdogs.
  • Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Sabres’ last five home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Tage Thompson has recorded at least one point in each of the Sabres’ last seven games as home underdogs.
  • Ryan McLeod ranks 1st amongst qualified Atlantic Division players for shooting percentage (22.1%) this season.

Total Goals Facts

  • Eight of the Senators’ last 10 road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Four of the Sabres’ last five home games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.

Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres Prediction

I’m on the Senators here. The Sabres have owned this matchup in recent years, and I’m kind of going against what I’ve known this season, which is to mostly fade Ottawa on the road and back them at home because it’s where they’ve been their weakest/strongest this season. However, the Sabres are playing out the string at this poin,t and the Senators need to keep winning games to strengthen their hold on the final Wild Card spot in the Eastern Conference. I think this is a spot where the Sens show up and get the win, so give me Ottawa here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Ottawa Senators -148

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