Oilers vs Stars Prediction 5/29/25 NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate an Oilers vs Stars prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, May 29th at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup in the Western Conference Finals. 

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers are up 3-1 in this series after they won three of the first four games by scores of 3-6, 3-0, 6-1, and 4-1. In their game four win, Edmonton allowed Dallas to tie the game at one in the second period, but they scored the last three goals in the game for the win. The Oilers recorded 33 shots on goal, won 38.8% of the face-offs, and went 2-3 on the power play in the game. Edmonton got goals from Draisaitl, Henrique, Kapanen, and Perry, while Podkolzin led the team with eight hits. Stuart Skinner stopped 28 out of 29 shots in the game, which was a .966 save percentage. 

Prior to this series, the Oilers defeated the Golden Knights in five games in the second round and the Kings in six games in the first round. Edmonton had plenty of trouble in the first 2.5 games against Los Angeles in the first round, but they have won 11 of their last 13 games. Edmonton has scored 3.16 goals per game and they have allowed 2.87 goals against per game, while also going 23.7% on the power play and 78.2% on the penalty kill this season. Connor McDavid has led Edmonton with five goals, 19 assists, and 56 shots on goal, while Leon Draisaitl has added seven goals, 16 assists, and 42 shots on goal. Stuart Skinner is 5-4 with a 2.47 goals against average and a .910 save percentage in the postseason. 

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are down 3-1 in this series and they are facing elimination in this game, after they dropped game four by a score of 4-1. Dallas played very well in the first period of this game, but didn’t score until the second period, which was their only goal of the game. The Stars recorded 29 shots on goal, won 61.2% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Dallas got their lone goal from Robertson, while Marchment led the team with five hits. Jake Oettinger stopped 29 out of 31 shots in the game, while was a .935 save percentage. 

Prior to this series, the Stars defeated the Jets in six games in the second round and the Avalanche in seven games in the first round. Dallas was able to erase a two goal deficit in game seven against Colorado and they got great goaltending against Winnipeg to move on. Dallas has scored 3.35 goals per game and they have allowed 2.71 goals against per game, while also going 22% on the power play and 82% on the penalty kill this season. Mikko Rantanen has led Dallas with nine goals, 12 assists, and 47 shots on goal, while Thomas Harley has added four goals, eight assists, and 30 shots on goal in the postseason. Jake Oettinger is 9-8 with a 2.72 goals against average and a .908 save percentage in the playoffs. 

Why the Stars will beat the Oilers 

• The Stars have won seven of their last eight games at American Airlines Center.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last seven night games at American Airlines Center against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games at American Airlines Center following a win.
• The Stars have won the third period in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Oilers’ last eight games at American Airlines Center following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Stars’ last eight night games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 11 night games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 18 of the Oilers’ last 19 games against Central Division opponents.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Mikael Granlund has scored at least one goal in three of the Stars’ last four home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• Matt Duchene has recorded at least one point in eight of the Stars’ last nine home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded an assist in six of his last seven home appearances after playing less than 20 minutes in the Stars’ last game.
• Jason Robertson has recorded three assists against the Oilers this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has scored at least one goal in each of the Oilers’ last three playoff games as underdogs against the Stars.
• Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers’ last seven games as road underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• Connor McDavid has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight appearances with the Oilers as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• Leon Draisaitl ranks 1st in the league for multi-point games (36) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
• The Dallas Stars are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
• The Edmonton Oilers rank T3rd in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (4).
• The Edmonton Oilers rank T4th in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (0.91).

Oilers vs Stars Prediction 

Edmonton has won three games in a row in this series and they are one win away from returning to the Stanley Cup Finals, but they will be on the road. Dallas has started each of the last two games very strong, but they haven’t had much success getting pucks behind Skinner. Edmonton has played very well in the third period of the last two games to make the scores look lopsided, but Dallas has battled pretty hard. I think Dallas will feed off of the home ice energy in this game and I expect them to get to Skinner early, which will set the tone for the rest of the game. Take the Stars here. 

David Racey's Pick: Stars ML