| MATCHUP | New York Rangers | Tampa Bay Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 8-7-2 | 8-5-2 |
| Spread | +1.5 -218 | -1.5 180 |
| Moneyline | +120 | -142 |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-130) | Under 5.5 (110) |
| Where | Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL | |
| When | Wednesday, November 12, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | TNT | |
The New York Rangers and the Tampa Bay Lightning meet Wednesday in NHL action from the Benchmark International Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning prediction.
New York Rangers Recap
The New York Rangers come into this game looking to build on a 6-3 win over the Nashville Predators last time out to sit at 8-7-2 this season. After this game, the Rangers will head on the road again for a game against the Columbus Blue Jackets.
Rangers Alternate Wins & Losses In 5 Straight
Adam Fox has a team-high 13 points with 3 goals and a team-high 10 assists while Artemi Panarin has 12 points with 5 goals and 7 assists. JT Miller has 8 points with 3 goals and 5 assists while Will Cuylle has 8 points with 4 assists and Mika Zibanejad has 9 points with 5 goals. Alexis Lafreniere also has 11 points with 8 assists as well this season. Taylor Raddysh also has a team-high 5 goals as well on the year. Igor Shesterkin has gone 5-6-2 with a 2.46 GAA and a .909 save percentage while Jonathan Quick is 3-1 with a 1.26 GAA and a .950 save percentage in goal for the Rangers so far this season.
Tampa Bay Lightning Recap
The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to add on to their 3-2 win over the Washington Capitals last time out to sit at 8-5-2 this season. After this game, Tampa Bay wil head on the road for a game against the rival Florida Panthers.
Lightning Win 7 Of Last 8
Jake Guentzel leads the Lightning in scoring with 15 points coming on 6 goals and 9 assists while Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel have each added 14 points with 7 goals and 7 assists this season. Victor Hedman has a team-high 12 assists and Anthony Cirelli has 11 points with a team-high 7 goals and 4 assists. Brayden Point’s also added 9 points with 3 goals and 6 assists as well on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 5-4-2 with a 2.64 GAA and a .908 save percentage while Jonas Johansson is 3-1 with a 2.78 GAA and a .916 save percentage this season.
New York Rangers @ Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends: November 12, 2025
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Lightning have won each of their last seven night games at Benchmark International Arena following a home win.
- The Rangers have lost eight of their last nine games at Benchmark International Arena following a win.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games following a home win.
- The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the last five games between the Rangers and Lightning.
- The Rangers have lost the second period in each of their last six games as underdogs following a win.
Why the New York Rangers will win
- The Rangers have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
- The Lightning have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 10 home games.
- The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Lightning’s last 10 games.
- The Rangers have won the third period in each of their last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Lightning’s last four games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Rangers’ last four games as underdogs following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in seven of the Lightning’s last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last six games against opponents on a winning streak.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Hagel has scored the last goal in three of the Lightning’s last four games.
- Brandon Hagel has scored a goal in each of the Lightning’s last four games as favorites.
- Victor Hedman has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine Wednesday home appearances.
- Victor Hedman has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight Wednesday home appearances.
- Anthony Cirelli ranks 1st amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (33.3%) this season.
New York Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Alexis Lafreniere has recorded an assist in each of the Rangers’ last four road games.
- Artemi Panarin has scored at least one goal in each of the Rangers’ last three road games against the Lightning.
- Vincent Trocheck has recorded at least one point in each of his last 13 appearances with the Rangers as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- J.T. Miller has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances – [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (89.58%).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 8th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.73).
- The New York Rangers rank 31st in the league for goals per game this season (2.41).
- The New York Rangers rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (13.95%).
New York Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction
I’m on the under in this one. You have two teams in great form, with New York playing really well on the road and Tampa Bay playing really well overall, but both have world-class goaltenders and I think that this game reeks of a 3-2 kind of scoreline when all is said and done. Should be an awesome game, but I’m rolling with the under here.