New York Rangers vs Dallas Stars Prediction 4/11/2026 Today’s NHL Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Apr 7, 2026; Dallas, Texas, USA; Dallas Stars left wing Jason Robertson (21) skates with plugs in his nose after he is hit with the high stick o Calgary Flames center Ryan Strome (not pictured) during the overtime period at the American Airlines Center. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
New York Rangers
Dallas Stars
Team Records
33-37-9
47-20-12
Spread
+1.5 -166
-1.5 140
Moneyline
+164
-198
Total
Over 5.5 (-125)
Under 5.5 (105)
Where
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
When
Saturday, April 11, 2026
Time
05:00 PM EDT
TV
ESPN+
The New York Rangers and the Dallas Stars meet Saturday in NHL action from the American Airlines Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Rangers vs. Dallas Stars prediction.
New York Rangers Recap
The New York Rangers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-3 loss at the hands of the Buffalo Sabres last time out to sit at 33-37-9 this season. After this game, the Rangers will head on the road for a game against the Florida Panthers.
Rangers Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped
Mika Zibanejad leads the Rangers with 76 points coming on 33 goals and 43 assists while Vincent Trocheck has 53 points with 16 goals and 37 assists and J.T. Miller has 51 points with 17 goals and 34 assists. Alexis Lafreniere has 55 points with 24 goals and 31 assists and Adam Fox has 52 points with 43 assists. Will Cuylle also has 37 points with 20 goals and 17 assists. Igor Shesterkin has gone 25-18-6 with a 2.53 GAA and a .911 save percentage while Jonathan Quick is 6-16-2 with a 3.09 GAA and an .893 save percentage in goal for the Rangers so far this season. Spencer Martin is also 1-3 with a 4.13 GAA and an .864 save percentage.
Dallas Stars Recap
The Dallas Stars come into this game looking to add on to their 5-4 win over Minnesota last time out to sit at 47-20-12 this season. After this game, Dallas will head on the road for a game against the Toronto Maple Leafs.
Stars Win Back-To-Back Games
Jason Robertson leads the Stars with 92 points including a team-high 42 goals and 50 assists while Mikko Rantanen has 76 points with 22 goals and 54 assists this season. Wyatt Johnston has 84 points with 44 goals and 40 assists and Miro Heiskanen has 63 points with 54 assists as well this season. Roope Hintz has 44 points with 15 goals and 29 assists. Jake Oettinger has gone 33-12-6 with a 2.64 GAA and an .898 save percentage in goal for Dallas while Casey DeSmith has gone 14-8-6 with a 2.34 GAA and a .910 save percentage so far this season.
New York Rangers @ Dallas Stars Betting Trends: April 11, 2026
Why the Dallas Stars will win
The Rangers have lost eight of their last nine games against opponents on a winning streak.
The home team has won five of the Stars’ last six games.
The home team has covered the puck line in eight of the Rangers’ last nine games.
The Rangers have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight away games when playing with a rest advantage.
The Rangers have lost the third period in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents when leading after the second period.
Why the New York Rangers will win
The Stars have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
The Rangers have won each of their last five games when playing with a rest advantage against Stars.
The Rangers have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven day games.
The Rangers have won the second period in each of their last four games against Central Division opponents when trailing after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
Each of the Rangers’ last eight games as road underdogs against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
Four of the last five games between the Rangers and Stars at American Airlines Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last eight games as road underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in six of the Stars’ last seven games as favorites against the Rangers.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in seven of the Stars’ last eight games as home favorites.
Mikko Rantanen has recorded an assist in eight of his last nine appearances with the Stars as favorites.
Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (26) this season.
New York Rangers Player Prop Facts
Vincent Trocheck has scored at least one goal in four of the Rangers’ last five games against the Stars.
Adam Fox has recorded at least one assist in each of his last nine Saturday appearances against Central Division opponents.
Tye Kartye has recorded 63 career hits against the Stars – most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Matchup/League Facts
The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (28.57%).
The New York Rangers rank 4th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.49%).
The New York Rangers rank 29th in the league for shots per game this season (25.3).
New York Rangers vs. Dallas Stars Prediction
I’m on the Rangers here. I think this is just a good price to take a shot on New York here given that Dallas is playing for positioning at this point but haven’t necessarily been at their best over the last month. New York on the flipside started to play a lot better with the pressure off, and they’ve found ways to be a lot more competitive on the road pretty much all season long. I’ll side with the Rangers on the road in this one.
