| MATCHUP | New York Islanders | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 0-0-0 | 0-1-0 |
| Spread | +1.5 -238 | -1.5 195 |
| Moneyline | +100 | -120 |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-130) | Under 5.5 (110) |
| Where | Toronto Stadium | |
| When | Wednesday, September 30, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
New York Islanders Betting Preview
The Islanders have missed the playoffs in back-to-back seasons and haven’t won a playoff series since the 2020-21 season. Peter DeBoer is in his first full season as head coach.
Outside of watching Anders Lee leave for Utah, the Islanders are pretty much the same team as last season. Matias Maccelli was a nice depth addition, but the Islanders didn’t change much overall. The Islanders have the pieces to be a playoff team, as there’s elite goaltending in Ilya Sorokin, a quality defenseman in Matthew Schaefer, and solid vets in Bo Horvat, Jean-Gabriel Pageau, and Casey Cizikas. It’s just bout finding the consistent offensive production to create the balance. We know the Islanders defend and play hard; not finding the back of the net, especially on the power play, is not going to cut it.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Habs, and they play the Senators and Predators next. The Maple Leafs haven’t lost their first two games since the 2015-16 season.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 2 goals per game and are scoring 0 percent of their power-play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 2 goals, Easton Cowan has 1 assist, and Kirill Marchenko has 4 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 100 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Sergei Bobrovsky has allowed 3 goals on 24 shots faced.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Islanders have lost seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have won four of their last five games against the Islanders following a loss.
- The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five road openers.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last four home games against the Islanders following a home loss.
- The Islanders have lost the third period in each of their last three road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
Why the New York Islanders will win
- The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last 12 night games following a home loss.
- The Islanders have won each of their last three games as road underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in 11 of their last 12 games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The road team has covered the puck line in seven of the Islanders’ last eight games.
- The Islanders have won the first period in six of their last seven night games at Scotiabank Arena.
Total Goals Facts
- Seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games against the Islanders following a loss have gone OVER the total goals line at Scotiabank Arena.
- Seven of the Islanders’ last eight games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight home games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last six games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- John Tavares has scored a goal in each of his last five home appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.
- John Tavares has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as home favorites.
New York Islanders Player Prop Facts
- Anthony DeAngelo has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Maple Leafs.
- Mathew Barzal has recorded at least one assist in each of the Islanders’ last five games against the Maple Leafs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Maple Leafs ranked 32nd in the league for shots against per game last season (32.4).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have recorded the longest home losing streak (8 games) in the NHL last season.
- The New York Islanders ranked T25th in the league for goals per game last season (2.79).
- The New York Islanders have recorded the most wins when tied or trailing after Period 2 last season (21).
New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report
The Islanders will be without Mathew Barzal.
The Maple Leafs will be without Dakota Joshua, Cade Webber, William Villeneuve, Max Domi, and Elvis Merzlikins.
New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
The Maple Leafs have the edge, having a game under their belt and being able to knock off the jitters. The Leafs also haven’t lost their first two games of a season in over a decade. However, Toronto is being asked to play a back-to-back while guys are still getting their feet under them. The Leafs also have to play a physically defensive-minded team after playing last night. It’s a tough spot. The Islanders have also owned the Maple Leafs in recent matchups, winning 8 of the last 10 games. I’ll take a stab with the plus money.