| MATCHUP | New York Islanders | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 38-24-5 | 29-27-12 |
| Spread | -1.5 180 | +1.5 -218 |
| Moneyline | -142 | +120 |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-135) | Under 5.5 (114) |
| Where | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON | |
| When | Tuesday, March 17, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
The New York Islanders and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction. This article will include a New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs pick.
New York Islanders Betting Preview
The New York Islanders beat the Flames and lost to the Kings, and they play the Senators next. The Islanders have won 8 of their last 11 games.
The New York Islanders are averaging 2.88 goals per game and are scoring 15.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Bo Horvat leads New York with 28 goals, Mathew Barzal has 42 assists and Anders Lee has 168 shots on goal. Defensively, the New York Islanders are allowing 2.78 goals per game and are killing 81.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. David Rittich has allowed 69 goals on 680 shots faced, and Ilya Sorokin has given up 103 goals on 1,183 shots.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Sabres, beat the Wild, and play the Hurricanes next. The Maple Leafs have lost 9 of their last 11 games.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.15 goals per game and are scoring 19.8 percent of their power-play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 27 goals, William Nylander has 40 assists, and John Tavares has 164 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.44 goals per game and are killing 83.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Joseph Woll has allowed 90 goals on 945 shots faced, while Dennis Hildeby has given up 46 goals on 511 shots.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Islanders have lost each of their last three games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The underdogs have won six of the last eight games between the Islanders and Maple Leafs.
- The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 13 games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have won the third period in each of their last four games at Scotiabank Arena following a road win.
Why the New York Islanders will win
- The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last 11 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Islanders have won eight of their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games at Scotiabank Arena.
- The Islanders have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have lost the second period in four of their last five home games following a road win.
Total Goals Facts
- Six of the Islanders’ last seven road games following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Five of the Maple Leafs’ last six night games at Scotiabank Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games at Scotiabank Arena.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last six games as favorites against the Maple Leafs.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- William Nylander has scored at least one goal in six of his last seven appearances at Scotiabank Arena.
- John Tavares has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games against Metropolitan Division opponents at Scotiabank Arena.
- John Tavares is one of only 10 players in the league to have scored a power play goal in three or more consecutive appearances this season.
New York Islanders Player Prop Facts
- Bo Horvat has scored at least one goal in each of his last nine Tuesday night appearances.
- Anthony Duclair has recorded an assist in six of his last seven road appearances against the Maple Leafs.
- Mathew Barzal has recorded at least three shots in each of his last five appearances—the equal-longest active streak in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 32nd in the league for shots against per game this season (32.2).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (29).
- The New York Islanders rank 8th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (81.77%).
- The New York Islanders have recorded the most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (11).
New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
The Islanders are playing consistent hockey and they’re on the road, where they’ve won 20 games. There are no excuses in a spot like this. The Maple Leafs have nothing to play for at this stage and often look like it as they keep getting peppered on the defensive side. The Islanders can’t afford to blow games like this as they fight to stay in the playoff race. This is a must-win game for the Islanders and their postseason hopes. I’ll lay the reasonable price with the road team.