| MATCHUP | New York Islanders | Ottawa Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 |
| Spread | +1.5 -198 | -1.5 164 |
| Moneyline | +130 | -155 |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-112) | Under 5.5 (-108) |
| Where | Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON | |
| When | Thursday, October 15, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article, we will formulate an Islanders vs Senators Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, October 15th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Ottawa Senators Preview
The Senators have 10 points this season with a 5-2-0 record and a 2-1-0 home record. They are 2-5 ATS and 2-5 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-7 home loss to the Blues and will face the Flyers and Panthers next.
Offensively, the Senators are averaging 2.86 goals per game and are scoring 15.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.71 goals per game and are killing 78.6% of their opponent’s power plays.
Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 11 points, adding a team-high 5 goals and a team-high 6 assists. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 5-0-0 record, with 1.27 GAA and .948 SV%. Samuel Ersson is the backup goalie and he has a 0-2-0 record, with 5.26 GAA and .829 SV%.
New York Islanders Preview
The Islanders have 6 points this season with a 3-3-0 record and a 0-2-0 away record. They are 3-3 ATS and 3-3 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-2 home win over the Canucks and will face the Maple Leafs and Ducks next.
Offensively, the Islanders are averaging 3.17 goals per game and are scoring 21.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.50 goals per game and are killing 82.6% of their opponent’s power plays.
Bo Horvat leads the Islanders with 7 points, adding a team-high 4 goals, while Matthew Schaefer leads the team in assists with 6. Ilya Sorokin is the starting goalie for the Islanders, and he has a 3-2-0 record, with 1.81 GAA and .934 SV%. Semyon Varlamov is the backup goalie and he has a 0-1-0 record, with 3.03 GAA and .864 SV%.
New York Islanders @ Ottawa Senators Betting Trends: October 15, 2026
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Islanders have lost each of their last six road games.
- The Senators have won each of their last four night games following a home loss.
- The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last five night games following a home loss.
- The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games following a win.
- The Islanders have lost the first period in eight of their last nine games as underdogs following a win.
Why the New York Islanders will win
- The Islanders have won each of their last seven road games against the Senators following a home win.
- The Senators have lost two of their last three games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The road team has covered the puck line in each of the last 12 games between the Islanders and Senators.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The road team has won the third period in four of the last five games between the Islanders and Senators.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Senators’ last eight games as home favorites following a loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Islanders’ last four night games following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Seven of the last eight Thursday night games at Canadian Tire Centre have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in nine of the Islanders’ last 10 games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in nine of the Senators’ last 10 home games against the Islanders.
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- Dylan Cozens has scored a goal in five of his last six home appearances against the Islanders.
- Tim Stutzle has recorded an assist in seven of the Senators’ last eight games.
- Stephen Halliday ranks T2nd in the league for Game Winning Goals (2) this season.
New York Islanders Player Prop Facts
- Bo Horvat has scored a goal in three of the Islanders’ last four road games against the Senators.
- Mathew Barzal has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances in road games.
- Bo Horvat has recorded at least one shot in each of his last 67 appearances – longest active streak in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Ottawa Senators rank 25th in the league in power play percentage this season (15.15%).
- The Ottawa Senators have recorded the equal-most wins when tied or trailing after Period 2 this season (3).
- The New York Islanders rank T6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.50).
- The New York Islanders rank T1st in the league in short handed goals this season (2).
Islanders vs Senators Prediction
The Senators are 3-1 in their 4 meetings against the Islanders but are 1-4 in their last 5 meetings in Ottawa.
In this Islanders vs Senators Prediction, the Senators are coming as -150 home favorites. The Senators are too expensive for my liking in this matchup but both teams have been playing excellent defense, allowing just 5.21 goals per game combined and also have elite goaltending, as both starting goalies have 3.08 GAA and .934+ SV%. Under is also 3-1 in their last 4 head-to-head meetings so everything sets up for a low-scoring affair. Take the under 5.5 goals in this one.