| MATCHUP | Nashville Predators | Dallas Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 27-24-7 | 35-14-9 |
| Spread | +1.5 -198 | -1.5 164 |
| Moneyline | +130 | -155 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (110) | Under 6.5 (-130) |
| Where | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX | |
| When | Saturday, February 28, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Dallas Stars Preview
The Stars have 79 points this season with a 35-14-9 record, and are 24-34 ATS and 28-29 in over/under. They have a 17-7-3 home record and a 18-7-6 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Central Division. They are coming off a 4-1 home win over the Kraken, and their previous three games were a 5-4 home win over the Blues, a 4-3 home overtime win over the Jets, and a 3-2 road win over the Mammoth.
Offensively, the Stars are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring 30.0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.72 goals per game and are killing 80.3% of their opponent’s power plays.
Mikko Rantanen leads the Stars with 69 points and 49 assists, while Jason Robertson leads the team in goals with 32. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 23-10-4 record, with 2.73 GAA and .897 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 12-4-5 record, with 2.31 GAA and .913 SV%.
Nashville Predators Preview
The Predators have 61 points this season with a 27-24-7 record, and are 30-28 ATS and 29-27 in over/under. They have a 16-12-3 home record and a 11-12-4 road record and are sitting 5th in the Central Division. They are coming off a 4-2 home win over the Blackhawks, and their previous three games were a 4-2 road loss to the Capitals, a 6-5 home overtime loss to the Wild, and a 6-5 home win over the Blues.
Offensively, the Predators are averaging 2.93 goals per game and are scoring 22.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.45 goals per game and are killing 80.0% of their opponent’s power plays.
Ryan O’Reilly leads the Predators with 57 points and 21 goals, adding a team-high 36 assists. Juuse Saros is the starting goalie for the Predators, and he has a 21-17-5 record, with 3.20 GAA and .892 SV%. Justus Annunen is the backup goalie and he has a 6-7-2 record, with 3.16 GAA and .888 SV%.
Nashville Predators @ Dallas Stars Betting Trends: February 28, 2026
Why the Dallas Stars will win
- The Stars have won each of their last eight home games following a win.
- The Predators have lost 14 of their last 17 road games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The home team has covered the puck line in each of the last four games between the Predators and Stars.
- The Predators have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last 10 games when playing with a rest disadvantage against Stars.
- The Predators have lost the second period in seven of their last eight road games against Western Conference opponents when leading after the first period.
Why the Nashville Predators will win
- The Predators have won three of their last four games as road underdogs against the Stars.
- The Stars have lost three of their last four games as a home favorite when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in seven of the Stars’ last eight games.
- The Stars have lost the third period in seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents when leading after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Predators’ last six games following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the last four night games between the Predators and Stars have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Nine of the last 12 games between two teams from the Central Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 15 games as favorites against the Predators.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Predators’ last nine road games against the Stars.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
- Matt Duchene has scored at least one goal in six of the Stars’ last seven games.
- Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last seven games as home favorites.
- Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (19) this season.
Nashville Predators Player Prop Facts
- Steven Stamkos has scored at least one goal in each of the Predators’ last five games against Central Division opponents.
- Roman Josi has recorded at least one assist in each of the Predators’ last six games against Western Conference opponents.
- Steven Stamkos ranks 1st in the league for Game Winning Goals (9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (30.00%).
- The Dallas Stars rank 4th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.72).
- The Nashville Predators rank 28th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.45).
- The Nashville Predators rank T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).
Predators vs Stars Prediction
The Stars have won both meetings against the Predators this season, both in Nashville, by 5-4 and 3-2. They are 5-2 in their last 7 head-to-head matches against the Predators and the under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
In this Predators vs Stars Prediction, the Stars are coming as -155 home favorites. The Stars have been by far the better team this season and are up against an Predators team that has been significantly weaker on the road. They also had one extra day of rest and have been red-hot lately, with seven consecutive wins, while the Predators are 1-3 in their last 4 games on the road. Don’t overthink this and take the Stars on the moneyline for the win.