Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals Prediction 4/30/25 NHL Picks

The Montreal Canadiens and the Washington Capitals meet Wednesday in NHL action from the Capital One Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Montreal Canadiens vs. Washington Capitals prediction.

Series Recap

The Washington Capitals have surged ahead in the series with a 3-1 lead after picking up a 5-2 win over the Montreal Canadiens in game four. The game sat scoreless through the first 20 minutes before Dylan Strome opened the scoring for Washington just 1:25 into the game. Juraj Slafkovsky tied things at one on the power play just after the midway point of the second period. Cole Caufield gave Montreal the lead with a PP tally of his own with 1:28 to go in the second, carrying the lead into the 3rd. Brandon Duhaime tied things at two for Washington just 6:39 into the third and Andrew Mangiapane gave Washington the lead for good at 3-2 with 3:37 to play. Duhaime would add a second and Tom Wilson buried as well with both scoring on an empty net to make up the 5-2 final score line.

Canadiens Trying To Stay Alive

Nick Suzuki has a team-high 89 points with 30 goals and a team-high 59 assists while Cole Caufield has 70 points with a team-high 37 goals. Mike Matheson has 25 assists while Juraj Slafkovsky has 51 points with 33 assists and Lane Hutson has 60 assists as well on the year. Brendan Gallagher has 38 points with 21 goals while Jake Evans has 36 points with 13 goals and 23 assists. In goal for Montreal, Sam Montembeault has gone 31-24-7 with a 2.82 GAA and a .902 save percentage while Cayden Primeau is 2-3-1 with a 4.70 GAA and an .836 save percentage this season. Jakub Dobes is also 7-4-3 with a 2.74 GAA and a .909 save percentage as well on the year.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

• The Canadiens have won four of their last five playoff games when facing elimination.
• The Capitals have lost each of their last three Game 5s of a playoff series.
• The Canadiens have covered the puck line in 16 of their last 21 games as underdogs.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last eight games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Cole Caufield has scored a goal in six of the Canadiens’ last seven games against the Capitals.
• Lane Hutson has recorded at least one assist in six of the Canadiens’ last seven games against the Capitals.
• Nick Suzuki has recorded at least one point in 14 of the Canadiens’ last 16 games against the Capitals.
• Mike Matheson ranks 1st in the Atlantic Division for average time on ice (25:05) this season.

Capitals Trying To Close Out Montreal

Dylan Strome leads the Capitals with 82 points including 29 goals and a team-high 53 assists while Alex Ovechkin has 73 points with 44 goals and 29 assists and Connor McMichael’s added 57 points with 26 goals and 31 assists. Aliaksei Protas has 66 points with 30 goals and 36 assists while Tom Wilson has 65 points and John Carlson has 51 points with Wilson logging 33 goals and 32 assists and Carlson adding 46 assists. Pierre-Luc Dubois also has 66 points with 46 assists of his own. Jakob Chychrun has 47 points with 20 goals and 27 assists as well on the year. In goal for Washington, Logan Thompson has gone 31-6-6 with a 2.49 GAA and a .910 save percentage while Charlie Lindgren is 20-14-3 with a 2.73 GAA and an .896 save percentage this season.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Capitals have won nine of their last 10 night games at Capital One Arena.
• The Canadiens have lost seven of their last eight road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last five night games at Capital One Arena following a road win.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games at Capital One Arena following a loss.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Alex Ovechkin has scored the first goal in three of the Capitals’ last four games as home favorites.
• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Capitals’ last nine games as favorites.
• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one point in each of the Capitals’ last 11 night games.
• T.J. Oshie has scored at least one goal in each of his last four playoff appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Aliaksei Protas ranks 1st in the Metropolitan Division for Plus/Minus (+40) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Five of the Canadiens’ last six games as underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the last three games between the Canadiens and Capitals at Capital One Arena have gone UNDER the total goals line.

Montreal Canadiens vs. Washington Capitals Prediction

I’m on the Capitals here. I still have my concerns about Washington with the workload looking like it’s going to be on the shoulders of Charlie Lindgren for a little bit, but Lindgren’s shown that he can hold down the fort with Logan Thompson out and held it down against Montreal. This Canadiens team is going to be a playoff threat for years to come, but I think this is where their story ends. Give me the Capitals to win the series.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Washington Capitals -198