Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 4/11/25 NHL Picks

The Montreal Canadiens and the Ottawa Senators meet Friday in NHL action from the Canadian Tire Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Montreal Canadiens vs. Ottawa Senators prediction.

Matchup History

The Montreal Canadiens have won all three meetings so far this season, starting with a 4-1 win in Montreal on October 12th, 2024, before a 5-2 win in Ottawa on February 22nd, 2025, and another win in Montreal, 6-3, on March 18th, 2025.

Montreal Canadiens Recap

The Montreal Canadiens come into this game looking to add on to their 4-1 win over the Detroit Red Wings last time out to improve to 39-30-9 on the year. After this game, the Canadiens will head on the road for a rivalry matchup with the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Canadiens Win 6th In A Row

Nick Suzuki has a team-high 86 points with 28 goals and a team-high 58 assists while Cole Caufield has 67 points with a team-high 37 goals. Mike Matheson has 24 assists while Juraj Slafkovsky has 48 points with 31 assists and Lane Hutson has 58 assists as well on the year. Brendan Gallagher has 38 points with 21 goals while Jake Evans has 35 points with 12 goals and 23 assists. In goal for Montreal, Sam Montembeault has gone 30-23-6 with a 2.81 GAA and a .902 save percentage while Cayden Primeau is 2-3-1 with a 4.70 GAA and an .836 save percentage this season. Jakub Dobes is also 7-4-2 with a 2.87 GAA and a .904 save percentage as well on the year.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

• The Canadiens have won each of their last nine games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Senators have lost five of their last six games as home favorites following a road loss.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 11 games as favorites following a road loss.
• The Canadiens have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a win.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Nick Suzuki has scored the last goal in each of the Canadiens’ last three games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Christian Dvorak has recorded at least one assist in each of the Canadiens’ last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Nick Suzuki has scored at least one goal in each of the Canadiens’ last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Nick Suzuki has recorded at least one point in each of the Canadiens’ last six games.
• Lane Hutson ranks 1st amongst rookies for average time on ice (22:39) this season.

Ottawa Senators Recap

The Ottawa Senators come into this game looking to bounce back from their 5-2 loss at the hands of the Columbus Blue Jackets last time out to fall to 42-30-6 on the year. After this game, Ottawa will welcome the Philadelphia Flyers to town.

Senators Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 72 points including 21 goals and 51 assists while Brady Tkachuk has 55 points with a team-high 29 goals and 26 assists. Drake Batherson has 62 points with 22 goals and 40 assists and Claude Giroux has 15 goals and 34 assists while Jake Sanderson also has 54 points with 11 goals and 43 assists so far this season. Linus Ullmark is 23-14-3 with a 2.68 GAA and a .911 save percentage in goal for Ottawa so far this year while Mads Sogaard is 1-1 with a 5.24 GAA and a .800 save percentage and Anton Forsberg is 10-12-2 with a 2.66 GAA and a .904 save percentage as well this season. Leevi Merilainen has also gone 8-3-1 with a 1.99 GAA and a .925 save percentage this season.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won seven of their last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Canadiens have lost five of their last six games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The home team has covered the puck line in each of the Senators’ last four games.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five road games.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Jake Sanderson has scored a goal in four of the Senators’ last five home games.
• Drake Batherson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last six home games against the Canadiens.
• Jake Sanderson has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators’ last six home games.
• Tim Stutzle has scored two goals against the Canadiens this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last seven games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Canadiens’ last six night games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Senators’ last four games as favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total goals line.

Montreal Canadiens vs. Ottawa Senators Prediction

I’m on Montreal in this one. I just think that while Ottawa’s been outstanding at home this season, the Canadiens can clinch a playoff spot with a win here. They’ve also owned this matchup against Ottawa as well this season. I’ll take my chances with Montreal and the plus money in this one.