Montreal Canadiens vs New York Islanders Prediction NHL Picks 10/19/24

In this article, we will formulate a Montreal Canadiens vs New York Islanders prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, October 19th at UBS Arena in Elmont, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Montreal Canadiens Betting Preview

The Montreal Canadiens are 2-3-0 this year after they lost to Los Angeles by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Montreal led 1-0 early in the first period, but they couldn’t find the back of the net in the rest of the game for the loss. The Canadiens were outshot by a total of 32-27, won 59.3% of the face-offs, and went 0-5 on the power play in the game. Montreal got their lone goal from Barron, while Montembeault stopped 28 out of 31 shots in the loss. 

Prior to that defeat, Montreal lost to Pittsburgh, defeated Ottawa, and lost to Boston. The Canadiens have scored 2.60 goals per game and they have allowed 3.40 goals against per game, while also going 18.2% on the power play and 93.8% on the penalty kill this season. Cole Caufield has led Montreal with four goals, one assist, and 17 shots on goal, while Sam Montembeault is 2-2-0 with a 2.29 goals-against average and a .933 save percentage this year. 

New York Islanders Betting Preview

The New York Islanders are 1-1-2 this season after they lost to St. Louis in overtime by a score of 1-0 in their last game. New York was able to generate quite a few shots on goal, but they couldn’t find a goal in the entire game. The Islanders outshot St. Louis by a total of 34-30, won 53.3% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. New York was led by Dobson, who had six shots on goal, and Nelson, who had five shots on goal, while Sorokin stopped 29 out of 30 shots in the loss. 

Prior to that overtime loss, New York defeated Colorado by a score of 6-2, but they lost to Dallas and Utah prior to that. New York has scored 2.50 goals per game and they have allowed 2.75 goals against per game, while also going 10% on the power play and 71.4% on the penalty kill this season. Brock Nelson and Anthony Duclair have led New York with three points each, while Ilya Sorokin is 1-0-1 with a 1.48 goals against average and .953 save percentage this year. 

Why the Islanders will beat the Canadiens

• The Canadiens have lost each of their last 11 games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Islanders have won six of their last seven games at UBS Arena after coming off overtime.
• The home team has covered the puck line in four of the last five games between the Canadiens and Islanders.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games.
• The Canadiens have lost the third period in each of their last four road games following a home loss.

Why the Canadiens will beat the Islanders

• The Islanders have lost four of their last five games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The underdogs have won three of the Islanders’ last four games.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 11 of the Islanders’ last 12 games at UBS Arena.
• The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites.
• The road team has won the third period in three of the Canadiens’ last four games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Canadiens’ last four road games following a loss has gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five games between the Canadiens and Islanders have gone OVER the total goal line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last eight games as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in eight of the Islanders’ last 10 night games.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Palmieri has scored at least one goal in six of the Islanders’ last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents at UBS Arena.
• Mathew Barzal has recorded at least one point in each of the Islanders’ last nine Saturday games at UBS Arena.
• Mathew Barzal has recorded at least one assist in 10 of the Islanders’ last 11 games against Atlantic Division opponents at UBS Arena.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Nick Suzuki has recorded at least one point in each of the Canadiens’ last six games as underdogs against the Islanders.
• Mike Matheson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Canadiens’ last four games as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Cole Caufield has scored at least one goal in four of the Canadiens’ last five games as road underdogs.

Montreal Canadiens vs New York Islanders Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup after getting shutout 1-0 in their last game, so they will look to find some offense in this game. The Islanders have played very strong defense in their first four games and Sorokin has looked very good in his two starts, but scoring 2.50 goals per game is not ideal. Montreal has also had some very good goaltending from Montembeault, but even with that good goaltending, they have still allowed four goals or more in three of their last four games. I don’t love either offense in this game and with the goalies playing very well, I am taking the under here. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 6