Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 3/24/2026 Today’s NHL Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Mar 7, 2026; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Tampa Bay Lightning goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy (88) blocks a shot against the Toronto Maple Leafs in the second period at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Minnesota Wild
Tampa Bay Lightning
Team Records
40-19-12
43-21-5
Spread
+1.5 -175
-1.5 145
Moneyline
+142
-170
Total
Over 6.5 (105)
Under 6.5 (-125)
Where
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL
When
Tuesday, March 24, 2026
Time
07:30 PM EDT
TV
TNT
The Minnesota Wild and the Tampa Bay Lightning meet Tuesday in NHL action from the Benchmark International Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Wild vs. Tampa Bay Lightning prediction.
Minnesota Wild Recap
The Minnesota Wild come into this game looking to build on their 2-1 OT win over Dallas last time out to sit at 40-19-12 this season. After this game, Minnesota will head on the road for a game against the Florida Panthers.
Wild Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
Kirill Kaprizov leads the Wild in scoring with 80 points including 38 goals and a team-high 42 assists while Matt Boldy has 75 points including 38 goals and 37 assists. Marcus Johansson has 43 points with 14 goals and 29 assists. Joel Eriksson Ek has 44 points with 17 goals and 27 assists while Brock Faber has 47 points with 14 goals and 33 assists. Filip Gustavsson’s gone 26-11-6 with a 2.48 GAA and a .913 save percentage while Jesper Wallstedt is 14-8-6 with a 2.75 GAA and a .913 save percentage in goal for Minnesota this season.
Tampa Bay Lightning Recap
The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-3 OT loss at the hands of Calgary last time out to sit at 43-21-5 this season. After this game, Tampa Bay will take on the Seattle Kraken at home.
Lightning Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped
Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning in scoring with 119 points including 40 goals and 79 assists while Brandon Hagel has 67 points with 32 goals and 35 assists and Jake Guentzel has 72 points with 31 goals and 41 assists. Anthony Cirelli has 48 points with 19 goals and 29 assists. Darren Raddysh has also added 61 points with 19 goals and 42 assists as well on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 33-12-3 with a 2.29 GAA and a .915 save percentage while Jonas Johansson is 10-9-2 with a 3.27 GAA and an .883 save percentage this season.
Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends: March 24, 2026
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
The Lightning have won each of their last five home games against Central Division opponents.
The Wild have lost four of their last five games following a win.
The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five night games.
The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last four home games against Central Division opponents.
The Lightning have won the third period in each of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents when leading after the second period.
Why the Minnesota Wild will win
The Wild have won each of their last six games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
The Lightning have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
The Wild have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five night games after coming off overtime.
The road team has won the third period in each of the Lightning’s last five games.
Total Goals Facts
Each of the Wild’s last seven road games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
Each of the Lightning’s last six home games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last six games after coming off overtime.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Wild’s last eight road games against the Lightning.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
Anthony Cirelli has scored a goal in four of the Lightning’s last five home games against Central Division opponents.
Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last 10 Tuesday home games.
Nikita Kucherov ranks 1st in the league for Points (119) this season.
Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts
Kirill Kaprizov has scored the last goal in each of the Wild’s last three games against the Lightning.
Joel Eriksson Ek has scored a goal in each of the Wild’s last five road games against the Lightning.
Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in each of his last 10 road appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
Quinn Hughes ranks 1st in the league for average time on ice (27:44) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.58).
The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
The Minnesota Wild rank T4th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.77).
The Minnesota Wild rank 6th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.57%).
Minnesota Wild vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction
I’m on the Lightning in this one. I get the case to be made for the Wild and the plus money on the road considering the Wild have been road warriors all season. However, they’re not in the best of form right now, and the Lightning have started to wake up again, finding the back of the net in bunches right now and I think the Lightning get the job done at home here. Give me Tampa Bay.
