Maple Leafs vs Oilers Prediction 10/24/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Edmonton Oilers meet Saturday in NHL action from Rogers Place. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton Oilers prediction.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to add on to their 5-4 win over the New York Rangers last time out to sit at 6-4-2 this season. After this game, Toronto will head on the road again for a game against the Calgary Flames.

Maple Leafs Win 3 Straight

Auston Matthews leads the Toronto Maple Leafs through twelve games this season with a team-high 18 points, totaling a team-leading 8 goals and 10 assists. William Nylander sits in second with 16 points on 6 goals and 10 assists, while Kirill Marchenko records 12 points with 6 goals and 6 assists. Easton Cowan adds 11 points with 5 goals and 6 assists, while Jack Roslovic chips in 10 points on 4 goals and 6 assists. Morgan Rielly records 8 points with 8 assists, while Gavin McKenna and John Tavares occupy the next tier with 7 points apiece, with McKenna scoring 3 goals and 4 assists while Tavares contributes 2 goals and 5 assists. Nick Paul, Darren Raddysh, and Colton Sissons record 5 points each, while Brandon Duhaime rounds out Toronto’s primary contributors with 3 points. In net, Sergei Bobrovsky holds a 3-3-2 record with a 3.10 GAA and an .895 save percentage after stopping 214 of 239 shots, while Anthony Stolarz posts a 3-1-0 mark with a 2.99 GAA and an .898 save percentage after stopping 106 of 118 shots for the Maple Leafs up to this point in the season.

Edmonton Oilers Recap

The Edmonton Oilers come into this game looking to add on to their 6-5 shootout win over Carolina last time out to sit at 8-1-1 this season. After this game, the Oilers will take on the Detroit Red Wings in a matchup at home.

Oilers Win 3 Straight & 8 Of Last 9

Connor McDavid leads the Edmonton Oilers through ten games this season with a team-high 31 points, totaling 8 goals and a team-leading 23 assists. Leon Draisaitl sits in second with 21 points, leading the squad with 10 goals alongside 11 assists, while Evan Bouchard records 19 points with 7 goals and 12 assists. Vasily Podkolzin adds 12 points with 7 goals and 5 assists, while Mathieu Joseph chips in 5 points on 2 goals and 3 assists. Owen Michaels, Kasperi Kapanen, and Alex Formenton occupy the next tier with 4 points each, with Kapanen potting 3 goals and Formenton recording 3 assists. Mattias Ekholm and Ryan Shea record 3 points apiece, while Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Isaac Howard round out Edmonton’s primary contributors with 2 points each. In net, Devon Levi holds a 6-1-0 record with a 3.11 GAA and an .887 save percentage after stopping 172 of 194 shots, while Tristan Jarry posts a 2-0-1 mark with a 2.97 GAA and an .873 save percentage after stopping 62 of 71 shots for the Oilers up to this point in the season.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Edmonton Oilers Betting Trends: October 24, 2026

Why the Edmonton Oilers will win

• The Oilers have won each of their last seven games after coming off overtime.
• The Maple Leafs have lost 10 of their last 11 games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Oilers have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games after coming off overtime.
• The Oilers have won the first period in each of their last four games as favorites after coming off overtime.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won five of their last six games as road underdogs against the Oilers.
• The Oilers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in 14 of their last 15 home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last six games as underdogs.
• The Oilers have lost the second period in seven of their last eight home games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Nine of the Oilers’ last 10 home games after coming off a shootout have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 15 games following a win.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in 14 of the Oilers’ last 16 night games.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

• Leon Draisaitl has scored at least one goal in seven of the Oilers’ last eight night games.
• Connor McDavid has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers’ last 10 games.
• Connor McDavid ranks 1st in the league for Points (31) this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• John Tavares has scored at least one goal in six of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
• Auston Matthews has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances against the Oilers.
• Oliver Ekman-Larsson has scored 14 career goals against the Oilers – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (4.60).
• The Edmonton Oilers rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (35.29%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (97.44%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (28.57%).

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton Oilers Prediction

I’m on the over in this game. Edmonton’s goaltending has improved, but the game against Carolina was proof that old habits still die hard. On the flipside, Toronto’s been in high-scoring games left and right and the 5-4 win over New York was no difference. Give me the over in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 6.5