Maple Leafs vs Flames Prediction 2/2/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Maple Leafs vs Flames prediction for this NHL game on Monday, February 2nd at the Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 25-21-9 this year after they defeated Vancouver in a shootout by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Toronto tied the game at two early in the third period, but they blew multiple chances to win the game in regulation and in overtime, before getting the win in the shootout. The Maple Leafs out shot Vancouver by a total of 41-30, won 50% of the face-offs, and went 0-0 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Domi and Roy, while Woll stopped 28 out of 30 shots, which was a .933 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Toronto lost to the Kraken by a score of 5-2 and the Sabres by a score of 7-4. The Maple Leafs have lost six of their last seven games and they are currently last in the Atlantic standings with 59 points. Toronto has scored 3.24 goals per game and they have allowed 3.44 goals against per game, while also going 17.6% on the power play and 83.5% on the penalty kill this season. William Nylander has led Toronto with 17 goals and 31 assists, while Auston Matthews has added 26 goals and 20 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Anthony Stolarz, who is 6-7-1 with a 3.67 goals against average and an .876 save percentage this year. 

Calgary Flames Betting Preview

The Calgary Flames are 22-26-6 this season after they defeated San Jose by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Calgary tied the game at two in the second period and they scored the lone goal in the third period to get the win. The Flames out shot San Jose by a total of 42-25, won 56.7% of the face-offs, and went 1-6 on the power play in the game. Calgary got goals from Farabee, Frost, and Gridin, while Wolf stopped 23 out of 25 shots, which was a .920 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Calgary lost to the Wild by a score of 4-1 and the Ducks by a score of 4-3. The Flames have lost five of their last six games and they are currently seventh in the Pacific standings with 50 points. Calgary has scored 2.48 goals per game and they have allowed 2.96 goals against per game, while also going 15.6% on the power play and 83.0% on the penalty kill this season. Nazem Kadri has led Calgary with nine goals and 26 assists, while Mikael Backlund has added 12 goals and 21 assists. The projected starting goalie for Calgary is Dustin Wolf, who is 16-20-3 with a 3.00 goals against average and an .897 save percentage this season. 

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Flames have lost 10 of their last 11 night games.
• The Maple Leafs have won eight of their last nine games against the Flames.
• The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The road team has covered the puck line in seven of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games.
• The Flames have lost the second period in each of their last three games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the last eight night games between the Maple Leafs and Flames have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games as favorites against the Flames.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flames’ last three games.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

• Morgan Frost has scored a goal in three of the Flames’ last four games as underdogs.
• Jonathan Huberdeau has recorded at least one assist in each of the Flames’ last six games as underdogs against the Maple Leafs.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Max Domi has scored a goal in three of the Maple Leafs’ last four games.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Maple Leafs as favorites against the Flames.

Maple Leafs vs Flames Prediction 

Toronto comes into this matchup after snapping their losing streak with a shootout win over Vancouver in their last game, but they have allowed at least four goals in four of their last five games. The Maple Leafs are 9-12-3 on the road this year, while the Flames are 14-9-4 at home. Calgary also snapped a losing streak in their last game, but they have scored one goal in three of their last five. I liked how Toronto played against the Canucks and I think they are going to heat up. Take the Leafs to win here.

David Racey's Pick: Maple Leafs ML