Maple Leafs vs Ducks Prediction 3/30/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Maple Leafs vs Ducks prediction for this NHL game on Monday, March 30th at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 31-30-13 this season after they lost to the Blues by a score of 5-1 in their last game. Toronto cut the deficit to 2-1 in the third period, but they allowed the last three goals for the ugly loss. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 38-13, won 45.8% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto got their lone goal from McCabe, while Woll stopped 33 out of 38 shots, which was an .868 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Toronto defeated the Rangers by a score of 4-3 and the Bruins by a score of 4-2. The Maple Leafs have won two of their last three games and they are currently seventh in the Atlantic standings with 75 points. Toronto has scored 3.09 goals per game and they have allowed 3.46 goals against per game, while also going 19.0% on the power play and 81.7% on the penalty kill this season. William Nylander has led Toronto with 25 goals and 42 assists, while Matthew Knies has added 20 goals and 39 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Joseph Woll, who is 15-14-6 with a 3.22 goals against average and a .904 save percentage this season. 

Anaheim Ducks Betting Preview

The Anaheim Ducks are 41-28-4 this year after they lost to the Oilers by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Anaheim cut the deficit from 3-0 to 3-2 in the third period, but they allowed an empty net goal to seal the loss. The Ducks were out shot by a total of 34-31, won 59.3% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Anaheim got goals from Gauthier and Sennecke, while Dostal stopped 30 out of 33 shots, which was a .909 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Anaheim defeated the Flames by a score of 3-2 and the Canucks by a score of 5-3. The Ducks have won four of their last five games and they are currently first in the Pacific standings with 86 points. Anaheim has scored 3.25 goals per game and they have allowed 3.44 goals against per game, while also going 18.3% on the power play and 78.4% on the penalty kill this season. Cutter Gauthier has led Anaheim with 37 goals and 27 assists, while Leo Carlsson has added 24 goals and 37 assists. The projected starting goalie for Anaheim is Lukas Dostal, who is 29-16-3 with a 3.01 goals against average and an .894 save percentage this season. 

Why the Anaheim Ducks will win

• The Ducks have won five of their last six night games.
• The Maple Leafs have lost 13 of their last 17 games.
• The Ducks have covered the puck line in each of their last four home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six night games at Honda Center.
• The Ducks have won the third period in five of their last six games as home favorites following a road loss.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last six games against the Ducks.
• The Ducks have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a road loss.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Ducks’ last five games at Honda Center.
• The Ducks have failed to cover the puck line in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites following a road loss.
• The Maple Leafs have won the third period in four of their last five road games against Pacific Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Six of the Ducks’ last seven games as home favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Maple Leafs’ last five road games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 20 of the Ducks’ last 21 games as favorites.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games as underdogs.

Anaheim Ducks Player Prop Facts

• Chris Kreider has scored a goal in five of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Leo Carlsson has recorded at least one assist in six of the Ducks’ last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents at Honda Center.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Steven Lorentz has scored a goal in each of his last three road appearances against the Ducks.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in five of his last six appearances against Pacific Division opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Anaheim Ducks are the only team to win 25+ games when tied or trailing after Period 1 this season.
• The Anaheim Ducks held the NHL’s best record in games that have gone to shootout this season (8-0).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 32nd in the league for shots against per game this season (32.5).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs have recorded the equal-longest home losing streak (8 games) in the NHL this season.

Maple Leafs vs Ducks Prediction 

Anaheim had their winning streak snapped in their last game against the Oilers, but they will be back at home here. The Ducks are 23-10-2 at home this year, while the Maple Leafs are 13-18-5 on the road. Toronto has won two of their last three games, but they have allowed 4+ goals in three of their last five. I know the Ducks have an issue with allowing the first goal of the game, but I just don’t think Toronto has much fight left in them. Take the Ducks -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Ducks -1.5