Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prediction 3/24/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Maple Leafs vs Bruins prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 24th at the TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 29-29-13 this season after they lost to the Senators by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Toronto cut the deficit to 3-2 in the third period, but they allowed the last two goals in the game to seal the loss. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 44-14, won 44.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Cowan and Tavares, while Woll stopped 39 out of 44 shots, which was an .886 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Toronto lost to the Hurricanes by a score of 4-3 and the Islanders by a score of 3-1. The Maple Leafs have lost 12 of their last 14 games and they are currently last in the Atlantic standings with 71 points. Toronto has scored 3.10 goals per game and they have allowed 3.47 goals against per game, while also going 18.8% on the power play and 82.7% on the penalty kill this season. William Nylander has led Toronto with 24 goals and 41 assists, while Matthew Knies has added 18 goals and 39 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Joseph Woll, who is 14-13-6 with a 3.17 goals against average and a .905 save percentage this season. 

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins are 39-23-8 this year after they defeated the Red Wings by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Boston trailed 2-1 in the third period, but they scored the last three goals to escape with the win. The Bruins were out shot by a total of 44-27, won 40% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Boston got goals from Khusnutdinov, Lindholm, Pastrnak, and Zadorov, while Swayman stopped 42 out of 44 shots, which was a .955 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Boston defeated the Jets by a score of 6-1, but lost to the Canadiens by a score of 3-2 before that. The Bruins have won three of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the Atlantic standings with 86 points. Boston has scored 3.30 goals per game and they have allowed 3.06 goals against per game, while also going 23.8% on the power play and 77.6% on the penalty kill this season. David Pastrnak has led Boston with 28 goals and 58 assists, while Morgan Geekie has added 34 goals and 27 assists. The projected starting goalie for Boston is Jeremy Swayman, who is 28-14-4 with a 2.71 goals against average and a .908 save percentage this season. 

Why the Boston Bruins will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last 14 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Bruins have won 14 of their last 15 home games.
• The Bruins have covered the puck line in 13 of their last 14 games at TD Garden against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Bruins have won the second period in four of their last five home games against Eastern Conference opponents when tied after the first period.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The underdogs have won eight of the last 12 games between the Maple Leafs and Bruins.
• The Bruins have lost six of their last seven night games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in 13 of their last 14 games as favorites following a road win.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last six games between the Maple Leafs and Bruins at TD Garden.
• The Maple Leafs have won the third period in each of their last three road games against Atlantic Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last four night games between the Maple Leafs and Bruins have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Nine of the last 12 games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last seven games following a road win.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

• David Pastrnak has scored at least one goal in each of the Bruins’ last four home games against the Maple Leafs.
• David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in each of his last 10 Tuesday night appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has recorded at least one assist in four of his last five road appearances against the Bruins.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prediction 

Toronto comes into this matchup really struggling over their last 14 games and they are battling with Florida for last in the division. The Maple Leafs are 12-17-5 on the road this year, while the Bruins are 26-9-1 at home. Boston has won two games in a row and they have allowed two regulation goals or fewer in four of their last five. The Bruins are the much better defensive team and they have been very strong on home ice, so I will take them -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Bruins -1.5