Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prediction 11/11/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Maple Leafs vs Bruins prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, November 11th at the TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 8-7-1 this season after they lost to Carolina by a score of 5-4 in their last game. Toronto led 4-2 in the second period, but they were absolutely dominated in the third period and ended up with the tough loss. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 47-20, won 58.3% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Matthews, Nylander (2), and Tavares, while Hildeby stopped 42 out of 47 shots, which was an .894 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Toronto lost to the Bruins by a score of 5-3, but did beat the Mammoth by a score of 5-3 before that. The Maple Leafs have lost two games in a row and they are currently sixth in the Atlantic standings with 17 points. Toronto has scored 3.69 goals per game and they have allowed 3.75 goals against per game, while also going 17.1% on the power play and 80.9% on the penalty kill this season. William Nylander has led Toronto with eight goals and 15 assists, while John Tavares has added nine goals and 12 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Anthony Stolarz, who is 6-5-1 with a 3.35 goals against average and an .889 save percentage this season. 

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins are 10-7-0 this year after they defeated Toronto by a score of 5-3 in their last game. Boston had their lead cut to 4-3 late in the second period, but they scored the only goal in the third to seal the win. The Bruins out shot Toronto by a total of 39-33, won 51.6% of the face-offs, and went 1-1 on the power play in the game. Boston got goals from Arvidsson, Eyssimont, Geekie, Minten, and Pastrnak, while Swayman stopped 30 out of 33 shots, which was a .909 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Boston defeated the Senators by a score of 3-2 and the Islanders by a score of 4-3. The Bruins have won six games in a row and they are currently second in the Atlantic standings with 20 points. Boston has scored 3.29 goals per game and they have allowed 3.29 goals against per game, while also going 22.2% on the power play and 81.3% on the penalty kill this season. David Pastrnak has led Boston with eight goals and 11 assists, while Morgan Geekie has added 11 goals and four assists. The projected starting goalie for Boston is Jeremy Swayman, who is 6-4-0 with a 3.09 goals against average and an .899 save percentage this year. 

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Bruins have lost 13 of their last 15 night games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The favorites have won seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in five of their last six night games at TD Garden against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Bruins have lost the third period in each of their last three games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents at TD Garden when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Bruins’ last eight home games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Six of the last seven night games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Bruins’ last eight games at TD Garden against opponents on a losing streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

• Morgan Geekie has scored a goal in each of the Bruins’ last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Morgan Geekie has recorded at least one point in 18 of the Bruins’ last 19 games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins’ last six Tuesday night games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored a goal in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of his last 10 appearances.
• Matthew Knies has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prediction 

Boston rolls into this matchup looking to extend their six game winning streak, as they continue to climb the Atlantic standings. The Bruins are 7-3-0 at home this year, while the Maple Leafs are 1-3-0 on the road. Toronto has lost two games in a row and they have allowed five goals in each loss. The Maple Leafs have a bunch of talent, but they have struggled to play consistently to start the season. I don’t love how Toronto has looked, but I also know this Boston run is not sustainable and they are due for some regression. Take the Leafs here.

David Racey's Pick: Maple Leafs ML