Maple Leafs vs Avalanche Prediction 3/8/25 NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Maple Leafs vs Avalanche prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, March 8th at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 38-21-3 this year after they lost to Vegas by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Toronto allowed the first five goals in the game and they never got back into it for the loss. The Maple Leafs outshot Vegas by a total of 31-25, won 63.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Marner and Matthews, while Stolarz stopped 16 out of 18 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Maple Leafs lost to the Sharks by a score of 3-2 but did beat the Penguins by a score of 6-5 before that. Toronto has won five of their last seven games and they are currently second in the Atlantic standings with 79 points. Toronto has scored 3.19 goals per game and they have allowed 2.89 goals against per game, while also going 23.7% on the power play and 79.2% on the penalty kill this season. Mitch Marner has led Toronto with 19 goals, 58 assists, and 137 shots on goal, while William Nylander has added 35 goals, 28 assists, and 203 shots on goal. Anthony Stolarz is 13-5-3 with a 2.21 goals against average and a .925 save percentage this year. 

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are 37-24-2 this season after they defeated San Jose by a score of 7-3 in their last game. Colorado saw their lead cut to 2-1 in the first period, but they scored the next four goals in the game to pull away with the win. The Avalanche were outshot by a total of 34-32, won 54.4% of the face-offs, and went 3-4 on the power play in the game. Colorado got goals from Drouin, Kiviranta, MacKinnon (2), Necas, and Makar (2), while Blackwood stopped 31 out of 34 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Avalanche defeated the Penguins by a score of 4-1 and the Wild by a score of 5-2. Colorado has won four games in a row and they are currently battling with Minnesota for third in the Central standings with 76 points. Colorado has scored 3.30 goals per game and they have allowed 2.94 goals against per game, while also going 24% on the power play and 79.5% on the penalty kill this season. Nathan MacKinnon has led Colorado with 25 goals, 73 assists, and 257 shots on goal, while Cale Makar has added 24 goals, 50 assists, and 195 shots on goal. Mackenzie Blackwood is 17-7-2 with a 2.15 goals against average and a .921 save percentage this year. The Avs will meet the Blackhawks after this game.

Why the Avalanche will beat the Maple Leafs 

• The Avalanche have won each of their last six home games.
• The Avalanche have covered the puck line in each of their last six games at Ball Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four road games.
• The Maple Leafs have lost the second period in four of their last five games as road underdogs.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Avalanche’s last eight games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Four of the Maple Leafs’ last five road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games as road underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in eight of the last nine games between the Maple Leafs and Avalanche.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Gabriel Landeskog has scored a goal in six of his last eight appearances against Atlantic Division opponents at Ball Arena.
• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one point in each of the Avalanche’s last 18 home games.
• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in 16 of the Avalanche’s last 17 games against Atlantic Division opponents at Ball Arena.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games at Ball Arena.
• Auston Matthews has recorded at least one point in each of his last 10 appearances with the Maple Leafs as underdogs.
• Auston Matthews has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Maple Leafs’ last nine road games.

Maple Leafs vs Avalanche Prediction 

Colorado comes into this matchup on a four-game winning streak and they have scored a total of 21 goals in those four games. The Avalanche are 20-10-2 at home this year, while the Maple Leafs are 18-10-2 on the road. Toronto has lost two games in a row, including a bad loss to the Sharks at home, so they will be looking for a bounce-back performance here. I really like how Colorado is playing right now and their offense is absolutely dialed in, while Blackwood has been one of the better goalies in the NHL. Take Colorado at home here.