Lightning vs Senators Prediction 4/3/25 NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Lightning vs Senators prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, April 3rd at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 44-25-5 this year after they defeated the Islanders by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Tampa Bay allowed the Islanders to tie the game in the first period, but they scored the last three goals in the game for the win. The Lightning were outshot by a total of 29-24, won 44.2% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got goals from Bjorkstrand, Guentzel, Paul, and Hedman, while Vasilevskiy stopped 28 out of 29 shots in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Lightning defeated the Islanders again by a score of 5-3 and the Hockey Club by a score of 8-0. Tampa Bay has won four games in a row, and they are currently second in the Atlantic standings with 93 points. Tampa Bay has scored 3.59 goals per game, and they have allowed 2.62 goals against per game, while also going 25.5% on the power play and 82.4% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led Tampa Bay with 33 goals, 78 assists, and 240 shots on goal, while Brandon Hagel has added 33 goals, 48 assists, and 210 shots on goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy is 36-19-3 with a 2.18 goals against average and a .922 save percentage this year. 

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 39-29-6 this season after they lost to Buffalo by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Ottawa cut the deficit to 3-1 in the second period, but they allowed two more goals in the third in the loss. The Senators outshot Buffalo by a total of 35-22, won 60.7% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Giroux and Sanderson, while Ullmark stopped 17 out of 21 shots in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Senators lost to the Penguins by a score of 1-0 but did beat the Blue Jackets by a score of 3-2 before that. Ottawa has split their last four games, and they are currently fourth in the Atlantic standings with 84 points. Ottawa has scored 2.86 goals per game, and they have allowed 2.87 goals against per game, while also going 23.2% on the power play and 77.3% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 21 goals, 50 assists, and 142 shots on goal, while Drake Batherson has added 21 goals, 38 assists, and 168 shots on goal. Linus Ullmark is 21-14-3 with a 2.80 goals against average and a .907 save percentage this year. 

Why the Lightning will beat the Senators 

• The favorites have won each of the Lightning’s last nine games.
• The Senators have lost four of their last five night games at Canadian Tire Centre following a loss.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in eight of the Lightning’s last nine games.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games.
• The Senators have lost the second period in each of their last four games as underdogs when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Lightning’s last five night games at Canadian Tire Centre against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Senators’ last four games as underdogs following a home loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 10 road games against the Senators.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in eight of the Senators’ last nine games as home underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances against the Lightning.
• Brady Tkachuk has scored at least one goal in six of the Senators’ last seven games against the Lightning at Canadian Tire Centre.
• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last six games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in 19 of his last 20 appearances with the Lightning as favorites.
• Nikita Kucherov has scored a goal in four of the Lightning’s last five games.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in 10 of his last 11 appearances with the Lightning as favorites.

Lightning vs Senators Prediction 

Tampa Bay comes into this matchup looking for their fifth win in a row, as they battle with Toronto and Florida for positioning in the Atlantic division. The Lightning are 17-17-3 on the road this year, while the Senators are 21-11-2 at home. Ottawa is currently in the first wild-card spot in the East, but Montreal is just five points behind them. The Senators have not played very well in their last two games, and now they have to deal with a Tampa Bay team that has scored 23 goals in their last four games and a great goaltender. Take the Lightning to win on the road.