Philadelphia Flyers (27-31-8) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (37-23-4)
Game Info: Thursday, March 13, 2025 at 7:00 pm (Wells Fargo Center)
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Flyers +145 / Tampa Bay Lightning -165 — Over/Under: 5.5
In this article, we will formulate a Lightning vs Flyers prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, March 13th at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning are 37-23-4 this year after they lost to Carolina by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Tampa Bay allowed the first three goals in the game, but they were able to score in the third to avoid the shutout. The Lightning were outshot by a total of 31-24, won 58.5% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got their lone goal from Goncalves, while Vasilevskiy stopped 27 out of 31 shots in the game.
Prior to that loss, the Lightning lost to the Bruins by a score of 4-0 but did beat the Sabres by a score of 6-5 before that. Tampa Bay has lost three of their last five games and they are currently third in the Atlantic standings with 78 points. Tampa Bay has scored 3.50 goals per game and they have allowed 2.69 goals against per game, while also going 26% on the power play and 81.6% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led Tampa Bay with 28 goals, 64 assists, and 205 shots on goal, while Brandon Hagel has added 30 goals, 41 assists, and 185 shots on goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy is 30-18-3 with a 2.25 goals against average and a .920 save percentage this year.
Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Flyers are 27-31-8 this season after they lost to Ottawa by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Philadelphia tied the game at two in the second period, but they allowed the last three goals in the game for the loss. The Flyers were outshot by a total of 24-22, won 48.2% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Philadelphia got goals from Abols and Drysdale, while Fedotov stopped 19 out of 23 shots in the game.
Prior to that loss, the Flyers lost to the Devils by a score of 3-1 and the Kraken by a score of 4-1. Philadelphia has lost five games in a row and they are currently tied for last in the Metro standings with 62 points. Philadelphia has scored 2.79 goals per game and they have allowed 3.35 goals against per game, while also going 15% on the power play and 78.1% on the penalty kill this season. Travis Konecny has led Philadelphia with 22 goals, 43 assists, and 149 shots on goal, while Matvei Michkov has added 20 goals, 27 assists, and 151 shots on goal. Samuel Ersson is 18-12-4 with a 2.97 goals-against average and an .889 save percentage this season.
Why the Lightning will beat the Flyers
- The Lightning have won eight of their last nine games at Wells Fargo Center.
- The Flyers have lost each of their last five games at Wells Fargo Center.
- The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in 14 of their last 15 home games following a home loss.
- The Lightning have covered the puck line in five of their last six games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Flyers have lost the first period in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs following a home loss.
Total Goals Facts
- Seven of the Flyers’ last eight games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Eight of the Lightning’s last 10 night games at Wells Fargo Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last nine games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last three night games at Wells Fargo Center against opponents on a losing streak.
Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts
- Ryan Ellis has recorded at least one point in each of his last six appearances with his team as a home underdog.
- Travis Konecny has recorded an assist in each of the Flyers’ last four games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Hagel has scored a goal in four of the Lightning’s last five games as road favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Brandon Hagel has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last 15 Thursday games.
- Brayden Point has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances against the Flyers after playing less than 20 minutes in the Lightning’s last game.
Lightning vs Flyers Prediction
Philadelphia comes into this matchup looking to snap a lengthy losing streak, but they will be at home for this game. The Flyers are 15-18-1 at home this year, while the Lightning are 14-15-2 on the road. Tampa Bay has dropped two games in a row and they have been outscored 8-1 in those two losses, but this is a great bounce-back spot for them. The Lightning have allowed 13 goals in their last three games, but Philadelphia has been super low-scoring this season. I think we will see a great effort from this Tampa Bay defense and I like them to win by at least two goals here.