| MATCHUP | Seattle Kraken | Tampa Bay Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-2-0 | 4-1-0 |
| Spread | +1.5 -125 | -1.5 105 |
| Moneyline | +210 | -258 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (102) | Under 6.5 (-122) |
| Where | Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL | |
| When | Thursday, October 15, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article we will formulate a Kraken vs Lightning prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, October 15th at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Seattle Kraken Betting Preview
The Seattle Kraken are 5-2-0 this year after they defeated the Flyers by a score of 3-2 in a shootout last time out. Seattle blew a 2-0 lead in the third period, but they rallied for the win in a shootout. The Kraken out shot Philadelphia by a total of 31-26, won 44.6% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Seattle was led by Bobby McMann, who had one goal, while Philipp Grubauer stopped 24 out of 26 shots, which was a .923 save percentage.
Prior to that win, Seattle defeated the Capitals by a score of 5-3 and the Red Wings by a score of 6-3. The Kraken have scored 4.00 goals per game and they have allowed 2.71 goals against per game, while also going 22.7% on the power play and 78.9% on the penalty kill this season. Chandler Stephenson has led the team with one goal and six assists, while Joey Daccord is 3-1-0 with a 2.74 goals against average and a .913 save percentage this year.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning are 4-2-0 this season after they lost to the Rangers by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Tampa Bay cut the deficit to 2-1 in the first period, but allowed a goal in the second and third in the loss. The Lightning out shot New York by a total of 26-23, won 38.9% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay was led by Zemgus Girgensons, who had one goal, while Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 19 out of 22 shots, which was an .864 save percentage.
Prior to that loss, Tampa Bay defeated the Islanders by a score of 5-3 and the Wild by a score of 3-2. The Lightning have scored 2.83 goals per game and they have allowed 2.67 goals against per game, while also going 8.3% on the power play and 80.0% on the penalty kill this season. Brandon Hagel has led the team with four goals and four assists, while Andrei Vasilevskiy is 3-2-0 with a 2.46 goals against average and an .886 save percentage this season.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Kraken have lost six of their last seven road games following an overtime win.
- The Lightning have won 14 of their last 17 home games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Lightning have covered the puck line in three of their last four games against the Kraken.
- The Kraken have lost the third period in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs when trailing after the second period.
Why the Seattle Kraken will win
- The Kraken have won each of their last three games as underdogs.
- The Lightning have lost six of their last nine games as home favorites following a road loss.
- The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Kraken’s last four games.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in 15 of their last 18 games as favorites.
- The Lightning have lost the second period in each of their last four games as favorites following a road loss.
Total Goals Facts
- Eight of the Lightning’s last nine games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Seven of the Kraken’s last eight night games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in seven of the Lightning’s last eight games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Kraken’s last seven games.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Anthony Cirelli has scored at least one goal in five of the Lightning’s last six games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
- Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of his last 10 appearances with the Lightning as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
Seattle Kraken Player Prop Facts
- Bobby McMann has scored a goal in five of the Kraken’s last six games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Chandler Stephenson has recorded an assist in each of the Kraken’s last four road games.
Kraken vs Lightning Prediction
Seattle comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have scored 5+ goals in three of their last five. The Kraken are 4-1-0 on the road this year, while the Lightning are 3-0-0 at home. Tampa Bay had their winning streak snapped in their last game, but they have allowed two goals or fewer in three of their last five. Both teams are playing very well to start the season and I think Seattle has some value at this huge plus price. Take the Kraken here.