| MATCHUP | New York Islanders | Dallas Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-3 | 6-3 |
| Spread | +1.5 -162 | -1.5 136 |
| Moneyline | +164 | -198 |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-105) | Under 5.5 (-115) |
| Where | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX | |
| When | Sunday, October 25, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article, we will formulate an Islanders vs Stars Prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, October 25th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Dallas Stars Preview
The Stars have 13 points this season with a 6-3-1 record and a 3-2-0 home record. They are 5-5 ATS and 0-10 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-2 overtime home win against the Jets and will face the Devils and Canadiens next.
Offensively, the Stars are averaging 2.50 goals per game and are scoring 16% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 1.60 goals per game and are killing 91.7% of their opponent’s power plays.
Mikko Rantanen leads the Stars with 13 points, leading the team both in assists, with 8 and in goals scored with 5. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 5-2-1 record, with 1.23 GAA and .939 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 1-1-0 record, with 1.95 GAA and .925 SV%.
New York Islanders Preview
The Islanders have 12 points this season with a 5-3-2 record and a 1-2-1 road record. They are 5-5 ATS and 3-7 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-3 overtime home loss against the Kings and will face the Predators and Wild next.
Offensively, the Islanders are averaging 2.90 goals per game and are scoring 20% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.20 goals per game and are killing 88.2% of their opponent’s power plays.
Bo Horvat leads the Islanders with 10 points, adding a team-high 5 goals, while Matthew Schaefer leads the team in assists with 8. Ilya Sorokin is the starting goalie for the Islanders, and he has a 5-2-0 record, with 1.72 GAA and .934 SV%. Semyon Varlamov is the backup goalie and he has a 0-1-2 record, with 2.25 GAA and .899 SV%.
New York Islanders @ Dallas Stars Betting Trends: October 25, 2026
Why the Dallas Stars will win
- The Stars have won 13 of their last 14 night games following a home win.
- The Islanders have lost seven of their last eight road games.
- The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The home team has covered the puck line in three of the last four games between the Islanders and Stars.
- The Islanders have lost the second period in each of their last six road games against Western Conference opponents when leading after the first period.
Why the New York Islanders will win
- The Islanders have won five of their last six games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
- The Stars have lost three of their last four games as home favorites after coming off overtime.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 15 home games after coming off overtime.
- The Islanders have covered the puck line in each of their last six games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
- The Islanders have won the third period in each of their last four games after coming off overtime.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Stars’ last 10 games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Seven of the Islanders’ last eight night games at American Airlines Center have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last nine road games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The ‘Under 0.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last three games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
- Roope Hintz has scored the last goal in three of the Stars’ last four games as favorites.
- Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in four of the Stars’ last five home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Matt Duchene has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five appearances.
- Wyatt Johnston has recorded at least four shots in each of his last three appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.
New York Islanders Player Prop Facts
- Bo Horvat has scored a goal in four of his last five road appearances against the Stars.
- Mathew Barzal has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances in road games.
- Bo Horvat has recorded at least one shot in each of his last 71 appearances – longest active streak in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dallas Stars rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (1.60).
- The Dallas Stars rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (91.67%).
- The New York Islanders rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.20).
- The New York Islanders rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (88.24%).
Islanders vs Stars Prediction
The Islanders are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Stars and have won two of their last three visits in Dallas.
In this Islanders vs Stars Prediction, the Stars are coming as -190 home favorites. The Stars are the better team and playing at home and should win this one, but the moneyline is too pricey for my liking. The Stars are a perfect 10-0 to the under this season and the Islanders 5-0 to the under in their last 5, as both teams average 5.4 goals per game combined, while allowing just 3.8 goals per game combined defensively. Under is 7-1 in their last 8 meetings, so take the under in this one.