Golden Knights vs Stars Prediction 3/10/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Golden Knights vs Stars prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 10th at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview

The Vegas Golden Knights are 29-21-14 this year after they lost to the Oilers by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Vegas cut the deficit to 3-2 late in the third period, but they allowed an empty net goal to seal the loss. The Golden Knights out shot Edmonton by a total of 26-19, won 50% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Vegas got goals from Eichel and Hanifin, while Hill stopped 15 out of 18 shots, which was an .833 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Vegas lost to the Wild by a score of 4-2, but did beat the Red Wings by a score of 4-3 before that. The Golden Knights have lost five of their last six games and they are currently second in the Pacific standings with 72 points. Vegas has scored 3.25 goals per game and they have allowed 3.11 goals against per game, while also going 25.8% on the power play and 81.6% on the penalty kill this season. Jack Eichel has led Vegas with 22 goals and 49 assists, while Mitch Marner has added 18 goals and 47 assists. The projected starting goalie for Vegas is Akira Schmid, who is 16-9-6 with a 2.61 goals against average and an .893 save percentage this year. 

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 39-14-10 this season after they defeated the Blackhawks in overtime by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Dallas blew a 3-2 lead with 1:20 left in the third, but they scored just 22 seconds into OT for the win. The Stars out shot Chicago by a total of 31-19, won 69.0% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Bastian, Bourque, Hryckowian, and Heiskanen, while DeSmith stopped 16 out of 19 shots, which was an .842 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Dallas lost to the Avalanche by a score of 5-4, but did beat the Flames by a score of 6-1 before that. The Stars have won 11 of their last 12 games and they are currently second in the Central standings with 88 points. Dallas has scored 3.43 goals per game and they have allowed 2.68 goals against per game, while also going 29.9% on the power play and 80.2% on the penalty kill this season. Jason Robertson has led Dallas with 34 goals and 40 assists, while Wyatt Johnston has added 34 goals and 33 assists. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 25-10-5 with a 2.70 goals against average and an .897 save percentage this season. 

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last nine games as favorites.
• The Golden Knights have lost each of their last six night games following a home loss.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last four games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in 19 of their last 22 night games following a home loss.
• The Golden Knights have lost the first period in each of their last four road games following a loss.

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

• The Golden Knights have won four of their last five road games against Western Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last 14 games between the Golden Knights and Stars at American Airlines Center.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games as home favorites after coming off overtime.
• The Stars have lost the third period in each of their last three games at American Airlines Center when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Stars’ last eight games following an overtime win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the Golden Knights’ last six games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last five games against Western Conference opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 12 of the Golden Knights’ last 13 games as underdogs.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in four of the Stars’ last five games against the Golden Knights at American Airlines Center.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Stars’ last nine night games at American Airlines Center.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

• Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in seven of his eight previous appearances at American Airlines Center.
• Mitch Marner has scored a goal in each of the Golden Knights’ last four games against Central Division opponents.

Golden Knights vs Stars Prediction 

Dallas comes into this matchup after winning 11 of their last 12 games and they have scored at least four goals in four straight. The Stars are 19-7-4 at home this year, while the Golden Knights are 15-11-7 on the road. Vegas has lost five of their last six games and they have allowed four goals or more in three of their last five. These teams are trending in opposite directions, but Dallas has gone over 5.5 goals in six of their last eight games. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 5.5