Flyers vs Maple Leafs Prediction 3/2/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Flyers vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Monday, March 2nd at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers are 27-21-11 this season after they defeated Boston by a score of 3-1 in their last game. Philadelphia had their lead cut to 2-1 in the third period, but they added an empty net goal to seal the win. The Flyers were out shot by a total of 27-17, won 46.6% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Philadelphia got goals from Couturier, Konecny, and Drysdale, while Vladar stopped 26 out of 27 shots, which was a .963 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Philadelphia defeated the Rangers by a score of 3-2, but lost to the Capitals by a score of 3-1 before that. The Flyers have won three of their last five games and they are currently sixth in the Metro standings with 65 points. Philadelphia has scored 2.86 goals per game and they have allowed 3.10 goals against per game, while also going 15.9% on the power play and 79.9% on the penalty kill this season. Travis Konecny has led Philadelphia with 23 goals and 34 assists, while Trevor Zegras has added 21 goals and 29 assists. The projected starting goalie for Philadelphia is Dan Vladar, who is 18-9-6 with a 2.42 goals against average and a .907 save percentage this season. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 27-24-9 this year after they lost to Ottawa by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Toronto led the game 1-0 early in the first period, but they allowed five of the last six goals for the lopsided loss. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 40-23, won 51.0% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Nylander and Rielly, while Woll stopped 23 out of 28 shots, which was an .821 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Toronto lost to the Panthers by a score of 5-1 and the Lightning by a score of 4-2. The Maple Leafs have lost three games in a row and they are currently last in the Atlantic standings with 63 points. Toronto has scored 3.20 goals per game and they have allowed 3.45 goals against per game, while also going 19.3% on the power play and 83.4% on the penalty kill this season. William Nylander has led Toronto with 19 goals and 36 assists, while Auston Matthews has added 26 goals and 25 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Joseph Woll, who is 13-9-4 with a 3.05 goals against average and a .907 save percentage this year. 

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Flyers have lost each of their last seven night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last six home games against the Flyers.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last four home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have won the third period in each of their last five games against the Flyers following a loss.

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites following a home loss.
• The road team has won 10 of the Maple Leafs’ last 13 games.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as favorites following a home loss.
• The Flyers have covered the puck line in 13 of their last 15 road games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Flyers have won the third period in four of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Nine of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Flyers’ last five games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games at Scotiabank Arena.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• William Nylander has scored at least one goal in each of his last four appearances at Scotiabank Arena.
• Auston Matthews has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Owen Tippett has recorded an assist in four of the Flyers’ last five games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Tyson Foerster has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances with the Flyers as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Flyers vs Maple Leafs Prediction 

Toronto comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak and they have allowed 14 goals during that span. The Maple Leafs are 16-10-6 at home this year, while the Flyers are 13-12-4 on the road. Philadelphia has won two in a row and they have allowed two goals or fewer in four of their last five. This is a tough game to figure out, as Toronto has been very inconsistent, but the Flyers have gone under 6.5 goals in five straight games. Take the under once again here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 6.5