Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 2/25/25 NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, February 25th at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers are 34-19-4 this year after they lost to Washington by a score of 7-3 in their last game. Edmonton led 1-0 early in the first period, but they allowed the next five goals and never got back into the game. The Oilers were outshot by a total of 34-25, won 44.9% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Edmonton got goals from Draisaitl, Nugent-Hopkins, and Skinner, while Pickard stopped 27 out of 33 shots in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Oilers lost to the Flyers by a score of 6-3 and the Avalanche by a score of 5-4. Edmonton has lost five of their last seven games and they are currently second in the Pacific standings with 72 points. Edmonton has scored 3.30 goals per game and they have allowed 2.88 goals against per game, while also going 25% on the power play and 74% on the penalty kill this season. Leon Draisaitl has led Edmonton with 42 goals, 44 assists, and 190 shots on goal, while Connor McDavid has added 22 goals, 50 assists, and 157 shots on goal. Stuart Skinner is 20-13-4 with a 2.81 goals against average and an .898 save percentage this year. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 32-20-4 this season after they defeated Seattle by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Tampa Bay scored the first three goals in the game and put it away with an empty netter in the third. The Lightning were outshot by a total of 37-24, won 56.6% of the face-offs, and went 0-0 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got goals from Glendening, Hagel, Kucherov, and Paul, while Vasilevskiy stopped 36 out of 37 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Lightning defeated the Canadiens by a score of 5-3 and the Red Wings by a score of 6-3. Tampa Bay has won five games in a row and they are currently third in the Atlantic standings with 68 points. Tampa Bay has scored 3.57 goals per game and they have allowed 2.73 goals against per game, while also going 26.9% on the power play and 80.9% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led Tampa Bay with 26 goals, 57 assists, and 182 shots on goal, while Brandon Hagel has added 27 goals, 37 assists, and 161 shots on goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy is 26-15-3 with a 2.32 goals-against average and a .920 save percentage this year. 

Why the Lightning will beat the Oilers 

• The Lightning have won 10 of their last 11 home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games at Amalie Arena.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Lightning’s last four games.
• The Oilers have lost the second period in four of their last five night games at Amalie Arena.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Oilers’ last nine night games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Lightning’s last six games against Pacific Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last eight games as favorites.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in eight of the Oilers’ last nine games following a road loss.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in six of his last seven appearances against the Oilers at Amalie Arena.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last 12 home games.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances against the Oilers.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

• Leon Draisaitl has scored at least one goal in each of the Oilers’ last five road games.
• Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Oilers’ last eight games as road underdogs.
• Leon Draisaitl has recorded at least one point in 24 of the Oilers’ last 25 night games.

Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 

Edmonton comes into this matchup trying to snap a three-game losing streak and they have allowed 18 goals in those three games. The Oilers are 16-9-2 on the road this year, while the Lightning are 19-7-2 at home. Tampa Bay has won five games in a row and they have scored at least four goals in all five wins. The Lightning are playing very well right now and Vasilevskiy has been one of the best goalies in the NHL so far this year. I don’t like what I am seeing from Edmonton in their last five games, so give me Tampa Bay and the reasonable price at home.