Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Prediction 5/23/25 NHL Picks

The Edmonton Oilers and the Dallas Stars meet Friday in NHL action from the American Airlines Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars prediction.

Series Recap

The Dallas Stars drew first blood in the series by taking down the Oilers in game one by a final score of 6-3. Leon Draisaitl opened the scoring for the Oilers just after the midway point of the opening period before Tyler Seguin tied things at one for Dallas just over five minutes later. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins gave the Oilers the lead at the 6:08 mark of the second period and Evan Bouchard doubled the lead just 1:40 later. The 3-1 lead would hold up until Miro Heiskanen cut into the deficit with a power play goal :32 into the third period. Mikael Granlund tied the game at three just 3:17 with another power play goal and Matt Duchene gave Dallas their first lead with yet another PP tally just 2:09 after that. Tyler Seguin would add an insurance marker with just under four minutes to go and Esa Lindell would add an empty-netter just 43 seconds later to ice the win for the Stars to close out the game.

Oilers Looking To Get Back On Track

Leon Draisaitl leads the Oilers in scoring with 106 points including a team-high 52 goals and 54 assists while Connor McDavid has 100 points with 26 goals and 74 assists. Evan Bouchard has 67 points with 14 goals and 53 assists while Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has 49 points with 20 goals and 29 assists as well this season. Zach Hyman also has 44 points with 27 goals. Calvin Pickard has gone 22-10-1 with a 2.71 GAA and a .900 save percentage in goal for Edmonton and Stuart Skinner has gone 26-18-4 with a 2.81 GAA and an .896 save percentage this season.

Why the Edmonton Oilers will win

• The Oilers have won each of their last six Friday games as underdogs.
• The Oilers have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four home games against Pacific Division opponents.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

• Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers’ last 11 road games against Central Division opponents.
• Leon Draisaitl has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven road appearances against Central Division opponents.
• Viktor Arvidsson has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against Central Division opponents.
• Leon Draisaitl ranks 1st in the league for Goals (52) this season.

Stars Looking To Defend Home Ice

Matt Duchene has 82 points including 30 goals along with 52 assists. Jason Robertson has 80 points with 35 goals and 45 assists while Roope Hintz has 67 points with 29 goals and Jamie Benn has 49 points with 16 goals and 33 assists. Wyatt Johnston also has 71 points with 33 goals and 38 assists as well on the year. Evgenii Dadonov’s added 40 points split between 20 goals and 20 assists and Thomas Harley has 50 points with 16 goals and 34 assists as well this year. In goal for Dallas, Jake Oettinger is 36-18-4 with a 2.59 GAA and a .909 save percentage while Casey DeSmith is 14-8-2 with a 2.63 GAA and a .913 save percentage this season.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last seven games at American Airlines Center.
• The Oilers have lost three of their last four games at American Airlines Center.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last five night games at American Airlines Center following a win.
• The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four road games following a road loss.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Mikko Rantanen has scored a goal in four of his five previous playoff appearances with his team as a favorite against the Oilers.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded an assist in each of his last seven appearances with the Stars as favorites.
• Matt Duchene has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last eight home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• Esa Lindell ranks T2nd in the Central Division for Plus/Minus (+34) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Oilers’ last eight games as road underdogs against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Eight of the Stars’ last nine home games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.

Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars Prediction

I’m on the Dallas Stars in this one. Again, it’s never really fun to fade a team led by two players as good as Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl. However, the Oilers came out strong in the first two periods of game one and it felt like they forgot that the game is 60 minutes and the Dallas Stars took advantage. I think the Stars have the more stable goaltending and Stuart Skinner’s struggles reared their ugly head once again. I think the Stars get it done here so give me Dallas in this one.