Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Prediction 3/12/2026 Today’s NHL Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Mar 3, 2026; Calgary, Alberta, CAN; Dallas Stars left wing Jason Robertson (21) skates during the warmup period against the Calgary Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome. Mandatory Credit: Sergei Belski-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Edmonton Oilers
Dallas Stars
Team Records
32-25-8
40-14-10
Spread
+1.5 -218
-1.5 180
Moneyline
+105
-125
Total
Over 6.5 (-130)
Under 6.5 (110)
Where
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
When
Thursday, March 12, 2026
Time
08:00 PM EDT
TV
ESPN+
The Edmonton Oilers and the Dallas Stars meet Thursday in NHL action from the American Airlines Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars prediction.
Edmonton Oilers Recap
The Edmonton Oilers come into this game looking to add on to their 4-3 win over Colorado last time out to sit at 32-25-8 this season. After this game, the Oilers will head on the road for a game against St. Louis.
Oilers Win Back-To-Back Games To Start Road Trip
Connor McDavid leads the Oilers with 110 points including a team-high 36 goals and a team-high 74 assists while Leon Draisaitl has 94 points with 34 goals and 60 assists. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has 50 points with 17 goals and 33 assists while Evan Bouchard has 75 points with 18 goals and 57 assists. Mattias Ekholm also has 34 points with 6 goals and 28 assists and Zach Hyman has 44 points with 27 goals and 17 assists as well this season. Calvin Pickard is 5-6-2 with a 3.68 GAA and an .871 save percentage and Connor Ingram is 9-6-1 with a 2.78 GAA and an .892 save percentage while Tristan Jarry is 7-5-1 with a 3.93 GAA and a .864 save percentage in goal for Edmonton this season.
Dallas Stars Recap
The Dallas Stars come into this game looking to add on to their 2-1 win over Vegas last time out to sit at 40-14-10 this season. After this game, Dallas will head on the road for a game against the Detroit Red Wings.
Stars Win Back-To-Back Games
Jason Robertson leads the Stars with 74 points including a team-high 34 goals and 40 assists while Mikko Rantanen has 69 points with 20 goals and 49 assists this season. Wyatt Johnston has 68 points with 34 goals and 34 assists and Miro Heiskanen has 53 points with 44 assists as well this season. Roope Hintz has 44 points with 15 goals and 29 assists. Jake Oettinger has gone 26-10-5 with a 2.65 GAA and an .899 save percentage in goal for Dallas while Casey DeSmith has gone 14-4-5 with a 2.28 GAA and a .912 save percentage so far this season.
Edmonton Oilers @ Dallas Stars Betting Trends: March 12, 2026
Why the Dallas Stars will win
The Stars have won each of their last 10 games as favorites.
The Oilers have lost eight of their last 10 road games following a road win.
The Stars have covered the puck line in nine of their last 11 night games against Pacific Division opponents.
The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games against opponents on a winning streak.
The Stars have won the second period in each of their last six games as favorites following a win.
Why the Edmonton Oilers will win
The Oilers have won five of their last six games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
The Stars have lost each of their last five Thursday games as home favorites.
The Oilers have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 Thursday games as underdogs.
The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents.
The Oilers have won the second period in each of their last 12 games when leading after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
Each of the Stars’ last five home games against Pacific Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
Five of the Oilers’ last six games as underdogs following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last eight games following a road win.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 16 games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
Matt Duchene has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Stars’ last eight games as favorites.
Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in four of the Stars’ last five games against the Oilers.
Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (21) this season.
Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts
Connor McDavid has scored a goal in each of the Oilers’ last five games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
Connor McDavid has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers’ last 13 games against Western Conference opponents.
Connor McDavid ranks 1st in the league for Points (110) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.66).
The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (29.69%).
The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league in power play percentage this season (33.15%).
The Edmonton Oilers rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.55).
Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars Prediction
I’m on the Stars here. I just think that Dallas is the better team, and while Edmonton’s gotten a couple of solid wins as of late, I still think that the Stars are the more complete team with far more trustworthy goaltending and I think that, along with home ice, is going to be the difference in this game. Give me the Stars here.
