Tampa Bay Lightning (24-16-3) vs Detroit Red Wings (21-19-4)
January 18, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -205 / Detroit Red Wings +170 — Over/Under: 6.5
The Detroit Red Wings and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Saturday in NHL action at the Amalie Arena. Here’s a Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Pick.
Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview
The Detroit Red Wings lost to the Sharks, beat the Panthers, and they play the Stars, Flyers, and Canadians next. The Detroit Red Wings are averaging 2.91 goals per game and are scoring 29.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Dylan Larkin leads Detroit with 20 goals, Lucas Raymond has 31 assists and Alex DeBrincat has 114 shots on goal. Defensively, the Detroit Red Wings are allowing 3.2 goals per game and are killing 69.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Cam Talbot has given up 64 goals on 680 shots faced, while Alex Lyon has allowed 38 goals on 388 shots.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Bruins, beat the Ducks, and they play the Maple Leafs, Canadiens, and Blackhawks next. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.63 goals per game and are scoring on 26.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 26 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 45 assists and Brandon Hagel has 126 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.81 goals per game and are killing 82.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 80 goals on 911 shots faced, and Jonas Johansson has given up 30 goals on 308 shots.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Red Wings have lost 19 of their last 23 games at Amalie Arena.
- The Lightning have won four of their last five games at Amalie Arena.
- The Lightning have covered the puck line in six of their last seven night games at Amalie Arena after coming off a shootout.
- The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four road games following a road win.
- The Red Wings have lost the third period in three of their last four road games following a road win.
Why the Detroit Red Wings will win
- The Red Wings have won each of their last four games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Lightning have lost five of their last seven games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Red Wings have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents after coming off overtime.
- The Lightning have lost the second period in each of their last four games at Amalie Arena following a shootout win.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last 14 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Brayden Point has scored a goal in five of the Lightning’s last six home games.
- Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last seven games as favorites against the Red Wings.
Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts
- Dylan Larkin has scored at least one goal in each of the Red Wings’ last four games as underdogs.
- Dylan Larkin has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Red Wings’ last eight games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Lucas Raymond has recorded at least one point in each of the Red Wings’ last six games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 32nd in the league in short-handed goals allowed this season (8).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T2nd in the league for power-play goals against this season (20).
- The Detroit Red Wings rank 25th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.20).
- The Detroit Red Wings rank 2nd in the league for power-play goals this season (39).
Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Report
Janis Moser is out for the Tampa Bay Lightning, while Erik Cernak is questionable.
The Detroit Red Wings will be without Jeff Petry and Tyler Motte, while Alex Lyon is questionable.
Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction
The Tampa Bay Lightning are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, where they’re 14-6-1 on the season. However, the Red Wings have won eight of their last 10 games and just beat up the Panthers on the road. The Lightning have quietly lost six of their last 10 games, and their offense really comes and goes lately. The Red Wings have also won three straight games against the Lightning and six of the last eight meetings overall. The Red Wings are hot offensively and have to be oozing with confidence right now. I’ll grab the plus money with the Red Wings on the road.