Toronto Maple Leafs (27-15-2) vs Dallas Stars (27-14-1)
Game Info: Tuesday, January 14, 2025 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)
The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -115 / Dallas Stars -105 — Over/Under: 5.5
In this article, we will formulate a Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, January 14th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Dallas Stars Betting Preview
The Dallas Stars are 27-14-1 this year after they lost to Ottawa by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Dallas led 1-0 after the first period, but they allowed the next three goals and couldn’t complete the comeback in the loss. The Stars were outshot by a total of 28-26, won 41.8% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Dadonov and Robertson, while DeSmith stopped 25 out of 28 shots in the game.
Prior to that loss, the Stars defeated the Canadiens by a score of 2-1 and the Flyers by a score of 4-1. Dallas has won seven of their last eight games and they are currently third in the Central standings with 55 points. Dallas has scored 3.19 goals per game and they have allowed 2.48 goals against per game, while also going 16.8% on the power play and 85% on the penalty kill this season. Matt Duchene has led Dallas with 16 goals, 22 assists, and 75 shots on goal, while Jason Robertson has added 11 goals, 24 assists, and 106 shots on goal this year. Jake Oettinger is 21-9-1 with a 2.35 goals against average and a .910 save percentage this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs are 27-15-2 this season after they lost to Vancouver by a score of 3-0 in their last game. Toronto allowed one goal in all three periods in the shutout loss. The Maple Leafs outshot Vancouver by a total of 20-18, won 51% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto was led by Domi, McMann, and Robertson, who all had three shots on goal, while Hildeby stopped 16 out of 18 shots in the game.
Prior to that loss, the Maple Leafs lost to the Hurricanes by a score of 6-3 but did beat the Flyers by a score of 3-2 before that. Toronto has won five of their last seven games and they are currently first in the Atlantic standings with 56 points. Toronto has scored 3.07 goals per game and they have allowed 2.82 goals against per game, while also going 20.6% on the power play and 83.6% on the penalty kill this season. Mitch Marner has led Toronto with 14 goals, 45 assists, and 106 shots on goal, while William Nylander has added 24 goals, 20 assists, and 144 shots on goal. Joseph Woll is 14-7-0 with a 2.58 goals-against average and a .912 save percentage this year.
Why the Maple Leafs will beat the Stars
- The Maple Leafs have won nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Stars.
- The Stars have lost each of their last three night games at Scotiabank Arena.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last 10 games as road favorites.
- The Stars have lost the second period in each of their last three road games following a road loss.
Total Goals Facts
- Four of the last five games between the Stars and Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena have gone UNDER the total goal line.
- Four of the Stars’ last five games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last five road games against opponents on a losing streak.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in each of his last three appearances with the Maple Leafs as home underdogs.
- Auston Matthews has recorded at least one point in each of his last 11 appearances against the Stars.
- Morgan Rielly has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven home appearances against the Stars.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
- Tyler Seguin has recorded at least one point in 12 of his last 14 appearances in night games.
- Evgenii Dadonov has recorded an assist in four of the Stars’ last five games as road favorites.
Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
Dallas comes into this matchup after having their winning streak snapped against the Senators in their last game and they will be back on the road for this game. The Stars are 11-9-0 on the road this year, while the Maple Leafs are 17-8-0 at home. Toronto has lost two games in a row, but they are still leading the Atlantic standings and they have been very good at home. These two teams are separated by just one point in the overall standings, but I can’t ignore the difference of Dallas when they are at home vs. on the road. Take Toronto to get the win here.