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Dallas Stars vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction 1/9/25 NHL Picks

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Philadelphia Flyers (17-19-5) vs Dallas Stars (25-13-1)

January 9, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Flyers +140 / Dallas Stars -166 — Over/Under: 6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Dallas Stars vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, January 9th at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 25-13-1 this year after they defeated the Rangers in overtime by a score of 5-4 in their last game. Dallas trailed 3-0 in the first and 4-3 in the third, but they were able to tie the game and get the win in overtime. The Stars outshot New York by a total of 39-26, won 50.9% of the face-offs, and went 2-2 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Benn, Dadonov, Duchene, Robertson, and Harley, while Oettinger stopped 22 out of 26 shots in the game. 

Prior to that victory, the Stars defeated the Hockey Club by a score of 3-2 and the Senators by a score of 4-2. Dallas has won five games in a row and they are currently third in the Central standings with 51 points. Dallas has scored 3.26 goals per game and they have allowed 2.54 goals against per game, while also going 16.8% on the power play and 84.8% on the penalty kill this season. Matt Duchene has led Dallas with 16 goals, 22 assists, and 72 shots on goal, while Jason Robertson has added 10 goals, 22 assists, and 99 shots on goal. Jake Oettinger is 20-9-1 with a 2.41 goals against average and a .908 save percentage this year. 

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers are 17-19-5 this season after they lost to Toronto by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Philadelphia led 1-0 and 2-1, but they allowed the last two goals in the game for the loss. The Flyers outshot Toronto by a total of 32-17, won 46.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Philadelphia got both goals from Konecny, while Fedotov stopped 14 out of 17 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Flyers lost another game to the Maple Leafs by a score of 3-2 and lost to the Golden Knights by a score of 5-2. Philadelphia has lost three games in a row and five of their last seven, and they are currently sixth in the Metro standings with 39 points. Philadelphia has scored 2.98 goals per game and they have allowed 3.54 goals against per game, while also going 14.9% on the power play and 78.4% on the penalty kill this season. Travis Konecny has led Philadelphia with 20 goals, 25 assists, and 105 shots on goal, while Matvei Michkov has added 12 goals, 17 assists, and 83 shots on goal. Samuel Ersson is 9-6-2 with a 3.02 goals against average and an .884 save percentage this year. 

Why the Flyers will beat the Stars

  • The Flyers have won seven of their last 10 games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
  • The Stars have lost four of their last five night games following a road win.
  • The Flyers have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games as road favorites.

Why the Stars will beat the Flyers

  • The Stars have won seven of their last eight games against the Flyers.
  • The Flyers have lost each of their last five night games at Wells Fargo Center against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight home games following a home loss.
  • The Stars have covered the puck line in five of their last six games at Wells Fargo Center.
  • The favorites have won the third period in each of the Flyers’ last four games at Wells Fargo Center.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Flyers’ last four games following a loss has gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Four of the Stars’ last five road games following an overtime win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last three road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Stars and Flyers.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

  • Tyson Foerster has scored a goal in three of the Flyers’ last four games as underdogs.
  • Owen Tippett has recorded at least one point in each of the Flyers’ last six games as home underdogs against Central Division opponents.
  • Ryan Ellis has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances with his team as a home underdog.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Jamie Benn has scored a goal in four of the Stars’ last five games as favorites.
  • Matt Duchene has recorded at least one point in each of his last six appearances at Wells Fargo Center.
  • Jason Robertson has recorded an assist in four of the Stars’ last five road games.

Dallas Stars vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction 

Dallas comes into this matchup on a five-game winning streak, but they were fortunate to beat a bad New York team last time out. The Stars are 9-8-0 on the road, while the Flyers are 8-10-1 at home. Philadelphia has lost three games in a row and they have scored exactly two goals in each of those losses. The Flyers are allowing 3.54 goals against per game this year and their penalty kill is below 79%. The Stars are one of the best defensive teams in the NHL this season and I think we are going to see a lower-scoring game. Take the under here. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 6.5

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