Dallas Stars vs New York Islanders Prediction 2/23/25 NHL Picks

The Dallas Stars and the New York Islanders meet Sunday in NHL action from the UBS Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dallas Stars vs. New York Islanders prediction.

Matchup History

The Dallas Stars won the first meeting between these two teams back on October 12th, 2024, by a final score of 3-0 at home to give the Stars their fourth head-to-head win against the Islanders in their last six meetings with the Islanders.

Dallas Stars Recap

The Dallas Stars come into this game looking to add on to their 4-2 win over the New Jersey Devils last time out to sit at 36-18-2 on the year. After this game, Dallas will head on the road for a game against the Columbus Blue Jackets.

Stars Win Back-To-Back Games & 7 Of Last 9

Matt Duchene leads the Stars with 57 points including 23 goals along with 34 assists. Jason Robertson has 51 points with 20 goals and 31 assists while Roope Hintz has 36 points with 22 goals and Jamie Benn has 37 points with 14 goals and 23 assists. Wyatt Johnston also has 49 points with 17 goals and 33 assists as well on the year. Evgenii Dadonov’s added 32 points split between 16 goals and 16 assists and Thomas Harley has 30 points with 10 goals and 20 assists as well this year. In goal for Dallas, Jake Oettinger is 26-12-2 with a 2.35 GAA and a .911 save percentage while Casey DeSmith is 10-6 with a 2.47 GAA and a .913 save percentage this season.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last four games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Islanders have lost three of their last four games.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games.
• The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight Sunday games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Jamie Benn has recorded a point in seven of the Stars’ last eight road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Tyler Seguin has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances with the Stars as road favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances after playing less than 20 minutes in the Stars’ last game.
• Thomas Harley ranks 1st in the Central Division for Plus/Minus (+28) this season.

New York Islanders Recap

The New York Islanders enter this game and take the ice for the first time since the 4 Nations Face Off break, going into the break with a 6-3 loss to Minnesota to fall to 25-23-7 on the year. After this game, the Islanders will have a battle of New York with the Rangers.

Islanders Drop Back-To-Back Games Entering Break

Anders Lee leads the Islanders in scoring with 41 points including 23 goals and 18 assists while Kyle Palmieri has 37 points split between 16 goals and 21 assists. Bo Horvat has 40 points with 19 goals and 21 assists while Brock Nelson has 35 points with 17 goals and 18 assists. Simon Holmstrom has 30 points with 14 goals and 16 assists and Maxim Tsyplakov has 25 points with 7 goals and 18 assists. Ilya Sorokin has gone 20-16-4 with a 2.69 GAA and a .908 save percentage in goal for the Islanders while Semyon Varlamov is 3-4-3 with a 2.89 GAA and an .889 save percentage this season. Marcus Hogberg has also gone 2-2 with a 1.45 GAA and a .947 save percentage as well on the year.

Why the New York Islanders will win

• The Islanders have won each of their last six games at UBS Arena.
• The Stars have lost each of their last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Islanders.
• The Islanders have covered the puck line in each of their last six games at UBS Arena.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games as favorites following a road win.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

• Brock Nelson has scored the last goal in three of the Islanders’ last four home games.
• Bo Horvat has scored a goal in five of his last six appearances against the Stars.
• Brock Nelson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Islanders’ last four home games against Central Division opponents.
• Bo Horvat has recorded at least one point in each of the Islanders’ last seven home games against opponents who are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• Simon Holmstrom ranks 1st amongst qualified Metropolitan Division players for shooting percentage (24.6%) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Islanders’ last eight games as home underdogs following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Stars’ last eight games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.

Dallas Stars vs. New York Islanders Prediction

I’m backing the Dallas Stars here. The Islanders do have a rest advantage, but I’m concerned that this is one instance where rest could equal rust as even on a back-to-back, the Dallas Stars are one of the most consistent teams across the board so to see them against an Islanders team that didn’t enter the break in the best of form, I think this is a spot where the Stars could take advantage. Dallas is the better team in my eyes here and I think Dallas gets the job done on the road. Give me Dallas here.