Minnesota Wild (41-29-7) vs Dallas Stars (50-22-4)
Game Info: Sunday, April 6, 2025 at 3:00 pm (Xcel Energy Center)
The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Wild +130 / Dallas Stars -155 — Over/Under: 5.5
The Dallas Stars are visiting the Minnesota Wild on Sunday, April 6th at the Xcel Energy Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Prediction. We will examine:
The Minnesota Wild recent form and player performance
The Dallas Stars recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Minnesota Wild
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Dallas Stars
Recent betting trends in games played between the Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild game
Minnesota Wild Preview
The Minnesota Wild have 89 points this season with a 41-29-7 record and are sitting on the 8th place of the West. They have a 19-17-2 home record and are 38-39 against the spread and 33-40 in over/under. The Wild are coming off a 1-3 road defeat against the New York Islanders, and now have four consecutive losses, and are 1-6 in their last 7 games. They have been very good at home lately, with a 4-1 record in their last 5 home games, and are 4-1-1 to the over in their last 6 games.
Offensively, the Wildare averaging 2.68 goals per game and are scoring 20.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, the Wild are allowing 2.84 goals per game and are killing 72.1% of their opponent’s power plays. Matt Boldy leads Minnesota with 64 points, 39 assists, and 25 goals, while Macro Rossi follows with 56 points, 23 goals and 33 assists. Filip Gustavsson is likely in net for the Wild, and he has a 29-24 record, with 2.59 GAA and 91.4% saving percentage.
Dallas Stars Preview
The Dallas Stars have 104 points this season with a 50-22-4 record and are sitting on the second place of the West. They have a 22-14-2 road record and are 37-39 against the spread and 31-38 in over/under. The Stars are coming off a 3-5 home defeat by the Pittsburgh Penguins, and saw a seven-game winning streak getting snapped. They have been dominating on the road lately, with four consecutive wins, and are 3-1-1 to the over in their last 5 road games.
Offensively, the Starsare averaging 3.42 goals per game and are scoring 22.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, the Stars are allowing 2.54 goals per game and are killing 84.6% of their opponent’s power plays. Mikko Rantanen leads Dallas in points with 83, adding 52 assists and 31 goals, while Jason Robertson leads the Stars in scoring, with 33 total goals, adding 44 assists. Jake Oettinger is likely in net for the Stars, and he has a 36-18 record, with 2.45 GAA and 91.2% saving percentage.
Why the Minnesota Wild will win
- The Wild have won four of their last six games as home underdogs.
- The Stars have lost four of their last five day games against Central Division opponents.
- The Wild have covered the puck line in 10 of their last 12 games as home underdogs against the Stars.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five road games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Wild.
- The Wild have won the third period in seven of their last eight games against the Stars at Xcel Energy Center when leading after the second period.
Why the Dallas Stars will win
- The Stars have won each of their last 10 games as favorites following a loss.
- The Wild have lost each of their last four games.
- The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last four games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games against Central Division opponents.
- The Wild have lost the third period in each of their last seven games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Wild’s last five day games at Xcel Energy Center have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Thirteen of the last 15 games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Four of the Stars’ last five games against the Wild following a loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last eight day games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the last 12 games between the Stars and Wild at Xcel Energy Center.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Minnesota Wild rank 31st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (72.16%).
- The Minnesota Wild rank 28th in the league for goals per game this season (2.68).
- The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.62%).
- The Dallas Stars rank 3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.42).
Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Prediction
The Stars lead the Wild 2-1 wins this season, having won their only previous meeting in Minnesota with a 2-1 score. All of their three meetings this season had gone under the total with 5, 3 and 3 total runs. The Stars are 8-1 in their last 9 overall meetings against the Wild, and have five consecutive wins in Minnesota. Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 overall meetings, and 3-1-1 in their last 5 meetings in Minnesota.
In this Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Prediction, the Stars are coming as -155 road favorites. The Stars are rightfully favored, as they have been the better team throughout the season, but they are on the second leg of a back-to-back, and the Wild despite their recent losing streak, have been very good at home. The Wild also need this win in order to secure the 8th and final playoff place of the Western Conference, so I expect a hard-fought battle from both sides, which will end in a low-scoring game. Take the under.