| MATCHUP | Dallas Stars | Minnesota Wild |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 50-20-12 | 46-24-12 |
| Spread | +1.5 -218 | -1.5 180 |
| Moneyline | +114 | -135 |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-130) | Under 5.5 (110) |
| Where | Grand Casino Arena, Saint Paul, MN | |
| When | Saturday, April 25, 2026 | |
| Time | 05:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | TBS | |
Minnesota Wild Preview
The Wild finished the regular season with 104 points with a 46-24-12 record and were placed 3rd in the Central Division. They are 43-42 ATS and 47-34 in over/under and have a 23-10-8 home record. They are coming off a 3-4 home double overtime loss to the Stars, and their previous three games were a 2-4 road loss to the Stars, a 6-1 road win over the Stars, and a 3-2 home win over the Ducks.
Offensively, the Wild are averaging 3.27 goals per game and are scoring 25.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.87 goals per game and are killing 79.8% of their opponent’s power plays.
Kirill Kaprizov leads the Wild with 89 points and 45 goals, while Quinn Hughes leads the team in assists with 48. Filip Gustavsson is the starting goalie for the Wild, and he has a 28-15-6 record, with 2.69 GAA and .904 SV%. Jesper Wallstedt is the backup goalie and he has a 18-9-6 record, with 2.61 GAA and .916 SV%.
Dallas Stars Preview
The Stars finished the regular season with 112 points with a 50-20-12 record and were placed 2nd in the Central Division. They are 34-51 ATS and 43-40 in over/under and have a 24-9-8 road record. They are coming off a 4-3 road double overtime win over the Wild, and their previous three games were a 4-2 home win over the Wild, a 1-6 home loss to the Wild, and a 4-3 road shootout win over the Sabres.
Offensively, the Stars are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring 28.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.71 goals per game and are killing 80.3% of their opponent’s power plays.
Jason Robertson leads the Stars with 96 points and 45 goals, while Mikko Rantanen leads the team in assists with 55. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 35-12-6 record, with 2.59 GAA and .899 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 15-8-6 record, with 2.43 GAA and .907 SV%.
Dallas Stars @ Minnesota Wild Betting Trends: April 25, 2026
Why the Minnesota Wild will win
- The Wild have won each of their last 10 day games at Grand Casino Arena after coming off overtime.
- The Stars have lost each of their last five day games following a road win.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games after coming off overtime.
- The Wild have covered the puck line in six of their last seven day games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Stars have lost the third period in seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road win.
Why the Dallas Stars will win
- The Stars have won each of their last five games as road underdogs following a road win.
- The Wild have lost each of their last six Game 4s of a playoff series.
- The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
- The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Wild have lost the first period in each of their last six games as favorites.
Total Goals Facts
- Ten of the Wild’s last 11 day games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Stars’ last four road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Six of the last seven games between two teams from the Central Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Wild’s last six games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in nine of the Stars’ last 10 day games against opponents on a losing streak.
Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts
- Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances against the Stars.
- Quinn Hughes ranks 1st in the league for average time on ice (27:44) this season.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
- Jason Robertson has scored the first goal in three of the Stars’ last four road games against the Wild.
- Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last six playoff games.
- Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances in day playoff games.
- Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (27) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Minnesota Wild rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (25.19%).
- The Minnesota Wild rank 4th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.87).
- The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
- The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (28.63%).
Stars vs Wild Prediction
Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings but the Wild are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Minnesota.
In this Stars vs Wild Prediction, the Wild are coming as -135 home favorites. The Wild won game 3 at home and lost the stolen home court advantage and also the lead in the series as they are now behind 1-2 wins. The Wild have a very good history at home against the Stars and I highly double that they will lose a second straight home game that will bring them to the brink of elimination with 3 losses. Take the Wild to win this one at home and tie the series.