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Dallas Stars vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction NHL Picks 10/22/24

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Buffalo Sabres (2-4-1) vs Dallas Stars (5-1)

October 22, 2024 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Buffalo Sabres +135 / Dallas Stars -155 — Over/Under: 5.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Dallas Stars vs Buffalo Sabres prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, October 22nd at the KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 5-1-0 this year after they defeated Edmonton by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Dallas scored the first three goals in this game and they cruised to the relatively easy victory. The Stars were outshot by a total of 31-24, won 37.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-1 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Duchene (2), Hintz, and Robertson, while Oettinger stopped 30 out of 31 shots in the win. 

Prior to that win, the Stars lost to Washington by a score of 3-2, but they did win their first four games of the season. Dallas has scored 2.83 goals per game and they have allowed 1.50 goals against per game, while also going 11.1% on the power play and 95.2% on the penalty kill this season. Logan Stankoven and Roope Hintz have led Dallas with seven points each, while Jake Oettinger is 4-0-0 with a 1.48 goals against average and a .953 save percentage this year. 

Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview

The Buffalo Sabres are 2-4-1 this season after they defeated Chicago by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Buffalo blew a 2-0 first-period lead, but they scored the last two goals in the game for the win. The Sabres were outshot by a total of 37-22, won 46.3% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Buffalo got goals from Malenstyn, McLeod, Peterka, and Thompson, while Luukkonen stopped 35 out of 37 shots in the win. 

Prior to that victory, the Sabres lost to Columbus and Pittsburgh by scores of 6-4 and 6-5. Columbus has scored 3.00 goals per game and they have allowed 3.71 goals against per game, while also going 0% on the power play and 72.7% on the penalty kill this season. Alex Tuch has led Buffalo with two goals, five assists, and 17 shots on goal, while Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is 1-2-1 with a 3.26 goals against average and an .895 save percentage this year. 

Why the Stars will beat the Sabres

  • The Stars have won six of their last seven night games at KeyBank Center.
  • The Sabres have lost four of their last five night games against Central Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Stars’ last seven night games against the Sabres following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the last eight Tuesday night games at KeyBank Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Six of the last eight night games between the Stars and Sabres have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 11 Tuesday games.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last four games against Central Division opponents.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Tuch has scored a goal in four of the Sabres’ last five night games at KeyBank Center.
  • Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least one point in each of the Sabres’ last eight Tuesday night games.
  • Peyton Krebs has recorded an assist in each of the Sabres’ last three games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
  • Rasmus Dahlin ranks 3rd in the Atlantic Division for average time on ice (24:10) this season.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Mason Marchment has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances at KeyBank Center.
  • Wyatt Johnston has scored a goal in three of the Stars’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Wyatt Johnston has recorded at least one point in nine of the Stars’ last 10 night games.
  • Jason Robertson ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Buffalo Sabres rank 25th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.71).
  • The Buffalo Sabres rank T31st in the league for power-play goals this season (0).
  • The Dallas Stars rank 29th in the league in power play percentage this season (11.11%).
  • The Dallas Stars rank 1st in the league for power-play goals against this season (1).

Dallas Stars vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction 

Dallas comes into this matchup with just one loss on the season and they are allowing fewer than two goals per game through six games. The Stars have allowed a total of six goals in their last five games, which includes two shutouts. Buffalo has split their last four games, but they have allowed six goals in two of their last three. The Stars are the better team here and Oettinger is one of the best goalies to start the season. Take Dallas on the road. 

David Racey's Pick: Stars ML

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