Columbus Blue Jackets vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 3/10/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jackets vs Lightning Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 10th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning Preview

The Lightning have 82 points this season with a 39-19-4 record, and are 33-29 ATS and 31-28 in over/under. They have a 19-10-0 home record and a 20-9-4 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 8-7 road loss to the Sabres, and their previous three games were a 5-2 road win over the Maple Leafs, a 4-1 road loss to the Jets, and a 5-1 road loss to the Wild.

Offensively, the Lightning are averaging 3.53 goals per game and are scoring 22.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.74 goals per game and are killing 82.0% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning with 103 points and 34 goals, adding a team-high 69 assists. Andrei Vasilevskiy is the starting goalie for the Lightning, and he has a 29-10-3 record, with 2.28 GAA and .914 SV%. Jonas Johansson is the backup goalie and he has a 10-9-1 record, with 3.23 GAA and .884 SV%.

Columbus Blue Jackets Preview

The Blue Jackets have 74 points this season with a 32-21-10 record, and are 32-31 ATS and 30-29 in over/under. They have a 17-8-7 home record and a 15-13-3 road record and are sitting 4th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 5-4 home overtime loss to the Kings, and their previous three games were a 5-4 home overtime loss to the Mammoth, a 4-2 home win over the Panthers, and a 3-2 home win over the Predators.

Offensively, the Blue Jackets are averaging 3.16 goals per game and are scoring 19.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.21 goals per game and are killing 77.6% of their opponent’s power plays.

Zach Werenski leads the Blue Jackets with 66 points and 20 goals, adding a team-high 46 assists. Jet Greaves is the starting goalie for the Blue Jackets, and he has a 20-12-8 record, with 2.69 GAA and .907 SV%. Elvis Merzlikins is the backup goalie and he has a 12-9-2 record, with 3.53 GAA and .884 SV%.

Columbus Blue Jackets @ Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends: March 10, 2026

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last nine home games against the Blue Jackets.
• The Blue Jackets have lost 12 of their last 15 games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games against the Blue Jackets following a road loss.
• The Blue Jackets have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The Lightning have won the first period in seven of their last eight games against the Blue Jackets following a road loss.

Why the Columbus Blue Jackets will win

• The Lightning have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Blue Jackets have won each of their last three games as an underdog when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Blue Jackets’ last six games.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight night games at Benchmark International Arena against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Lightning have lost the first period in five of their last six games as home favorites following a road loss.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Lightning’s last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Blue Jackets’ last four night games at Benchmark International Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last nine games as favorites against the Blue Jackets.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in eight of the Blue Jackets’ last nine road games.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last six Tuesday home games.
• Jake Guentzel has recorded an assist in each of his last seven appearances against the Blue Jackets.
• Nikita Kucherov ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (20) this season.

Columbus Blue Jackets Player Prop Facts

• Kirill Marchenko has scored at least one goal in each of his last four road appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Zach Werenski has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances in road games.
• Zach Werenski has recorded at least two shots in each of his last 17 appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.74).
• The Columbus Blue Jackets rank T2nd in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (2).
• The Columbus Blue Jackets rank 31st in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (1.29).

Blue Jackets vs Lightning Prediction

The Blue Jackets have won both previous meetings against the Lightning this season, both at home by 8-5 and 3-2, but the Lightning are 6-2 in their 8 meetings before that.

In this Blue Jackets vs Lightning Prediction, the Lightning are coming as -250 home favorites. The Lightning have been the better team this season and are catching the Blue Jackets in the second leg of a back-to-back, after an overtime thriller yesterday against LA. But the Lightning are perhaps on their worst stretch of the season, as they are 1-5 in their last 6 games, so I am not willing to back them as such big favorites today. Since I expect this one to be a close call, I will take the Blue Jackets by +1.5 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Columbus Blue Jackets +1.5