Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 10/23/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Chicago Blackhawks and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Thursday in NHL action at Benchmark International Arena. Here’s a Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Pick.

Chicago Blackhawks Betting Preview

The Chicago Blackhawks lost to the Canucks, beat the Ducks, and they play the Kings next. The Blackhawks have won 3 of their last 4 games.

The Chicago Blackhawks are averaging 3.14 goals per game and are scoring 18.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Frank Nazar leads Chicago with 3 goals, Connor Bedard has 5 assists and Ryan Donato has 17 shots on goal. Defensively, the Chicago Blackhawks are allowing 2.43 goals per game and are killing 81.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Spencer Knight has given up 10 goals on 158 shots faced, and Arvid Soderblom has allowed 7 goals on 59 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Blue Jackets and Red Wings, and they play the Ducks next. The Lightning have lost 3 straight games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 2.67 goals per game and are scoring on 25 percent of their power play opportunities. Anthony Cirelli leads Tampa Bay with 3 goals, Jake Guentzel has 5 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 15 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3.5 goals per game and are killing 90.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 14 goals on 123 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 6 goals on 64 shots.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Blackhawks have lost 18 of their last 19 Thursday road games.
• The Lightning have won six of their last seven night games against the Blackhawks following a road loss.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in four of their last five games as home favorites against Central Division opponents.
• The Lightning have won the first period in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against Central Division opponents.

Why the Chicago Blackhawks will win

• The Lightning have lost each of their last four games as home favorites.
• The Blackhawks have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Blackhawks have covered the puck line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 night games.
• The Blackhawks have won the second period in five of their last six road games against Atlantic Division opponents when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Ten of the Lightning’s last 11 night games at Benchmark International Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Six of the Blackhawks’ last seven road games following an overtime win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Blackhawks’ last five road games.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in six of the Lightning’s last seven games at Benchmark International Arena.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Brayden Point has scored at least one goal in four of the Lightning’s last five home games against the Blackhawks.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last eight games against Central Division opponents.
• Brayden Point has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last 10 games as favorites against the Blackhawks.
• Anthony Cirelli ranks T8th in the league for multi-goal game (1) this season.

Chicago Blackhawks Player Prop Facts

• Frank Nazar has scored a goal in four of the Blackhawks’ last five games as road underdogs.
• Connor Bedard has recorded at least one assist in five of the Blackhawks’ last six games as road underdogs.
• Frank Nazar has recorded at least one point in each of the Blackhawks’ last five games as road underdogs.
• Ilya Mikheyev ranks T8th in the league for multi-goal game (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning have suffered the equal-most losses when leading after Period 1 this season (3).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 1st in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.33).
• The Chicago Blackhawks have suffered the most losses when tied or leading after Period 2 this season (4).
• The Chicago Blackhawks have suffered the most losses when tied after Period 2 this season (4).

Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

The Lightning are the better team, at home, they’ve won 8 of the last 10 games against the Blackhawks, and they should win this game as well. However, the Lightning have been a mess this season and currently their offense is stuck in the mud. The Blackhawks look like a young, scrappy team, and they’ve quietly won 3 of their last 4 games. The Blackhawks have earned points in 8 of their last 10 games overall. We’re getting more than two times our money to back a team that’s competing. As long as that continues, the Blackhawks have betting value. Give me the Blackhawks at this price.