| MATCHUP | Buffalo Sabres | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-3-0 | 3-2-1 |
| Spread | +1.5 -245 | -1.5 200 |
| Moneyline | -102 | -118 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (-122) | Under 6.5 (102) |
| Where | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON | |
| When | Thursday, October 15, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
The Buffalo Sabres and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Thursday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction. This article will include a Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Pick.
Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview
The Buffalo Sabres lost to the Habs, beat the Panthers, and they play the Habs next. The Sabres have lost 3 of their last 4 games.
The Buffalo Sabres are averaging 2.71 goals per game and are scoring 11.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Tage Thompson leads Buffalo with 4 goals, Owen Power has 6 assists, and Rasmus Dahlin has 19 shots on goal. Defensively, the Buffalo Sabres are allowing 3.57 goals per game and are killing 60.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has allowed 16 goals on 107 shots faced, and Colten Ellis has given up 8 goals on 59 shots.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Mammoth, beat the Avalanche, and they play the Islanders next. The Maple Leafs have split their last 6 games.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.43 goals per game and are scoring 29.2 percent of their power-play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 5 goals, Auston Matthews has 7 assists, and Jack Roslovic has 20 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.14 goals per game and are killing 95.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Sergei Bobrovsky has allowed 12 goals on 129 shots faced, and Anthony Stolarz has given up 10 goals on 80 shots.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Maple Leafs have won six of their last seven games against the Sabres following a road loss.
- The Sabres have lost each of their last three night games.
- The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents after coming off overtime.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in seven of their last nine games following a road loss.
- The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last four games as favorites when trailing after the first period.
Why the Buffalo Sabres will win
- The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last six games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Sabres have won each of their last five night games after coming off a shootout.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games.
- The Maple Leafs have lost the first period in five of their last six night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Six of the Sabres’ last seven road games following a shootout win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Nine of the last 10 Thursday night games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last 10 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the last 10 games between the Sabres and Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in nine of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 games as favorites against the Sabres.
- Kirill Marchenko has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games.
- William Nylander ranks T2nd in the league for multi-goal games (2) this season.
Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts
- Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four road appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Rasmus Dahlin has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Jack Quinn has scored seven career goals against the Maple Leafs- the most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (1).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T3rd in the league for power play goals this season (7).
- The Buffalo Sabres rank T1st in the league in shorthanded goals allowed this season (0).
- The Buffalo Sabres have recorded the most equal-game wins when tied or trailing after Period 2 this season (3).
Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report
The Maple Leafs will be without Chris Tanev, Dakota Joshua, Max Domi, Cade Webber, Elvis Merzlikins, and William Villeneuve.
The Sabres will be without Alex Lyon, Conor Timmins, Topias Leinonen, Jack Rathbone, and Jason Zucker. Rasmus Dahlin is day-to-day.
Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
The Sabres are good enough to deserve a look in these spots, but the price isn’t worth the squeeze. The Sabres have also been sloppy defensively lately, and that’s not ideal against the Maple Leafs. We’re getting a low price, and the Leafs are showing signs of finding their groove offensively. Give me the Leafs on Thursday night.