| MATCHUP | Buffalo Sabres | Pittsburgh Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 9-9-4 | 10-6-5 |
| Spread | +1.5 -250 | -1.5 205 |
| Moneyline | +100 | -120 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (-105) | Under 6.5 (-115) |
| Where | PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA | |
| When | Wednesday, November 26, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Pittsburgh Penguins Preview
The Penguins have 25 points this season with a 10-6-5 record, and are 15-6 ATS and 9-10 in over/under. They have a 5-3-2-0 home record and a 5-3-3-0 road record and are sitting 5th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 3-2 home overtime loss to the Kraken and will face the Blue Jackets, Maple Leafs and Flyers next.
Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.05 goals per game and are scoring 32% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.62 goals per game and are killing 85.25% of their opponent’s power plays.
Evgeni Malkin leads Pittsburgh with 24 points, 6 goals and 18 assists, while Sidney Crosby follows with 23 points, 11 goals and 12 assists, and Bryan Rust follows with 15 points, 5 goals and 10 assists. Arturs Silovs is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 4-3-4 record, with 2.74 GAA and .908 SV%. Tristan Jarry is the backup goalie and he has a 5-2-0 record, with 2.60 GAA and .911 SV%.
Buffalo Sabres Preview
The Sabres have 22 points this season with a 9-9-4 record, and are 10-12 ATS and 12-8 in over/under. They have a 8-4-2 home record and a 1-5-2 road record and are sitting 7th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-1 home win over the Hurricanes and will face the Devils, Wild and Jets next.
Offensively, the Sabres are averaging 3.18 goals per game and are scoring 17.91% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.41 goals per game and are killing 87.69% of their opponent’s power plays.
Tage Thompson leads Buffalo with 21 points, 12 goals and 9 assists, while Alex Tuch follows with 13 points, 8 goals and 5 assists. Alex Lyon is the starting goalie and he has a 3-5-4 record, with 3.07 GAA and .907 SV%. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is the backup goalie for the Sabres, and he has a 3-2-1 record, with 2.68 GAA and .897 SV%.
Buffalo Sabres @ Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends: November 26, 2025
Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win
- The Sabres have lost 10 of their last 11 road games.
- The Penguins have won each of their last five home games against the Sabres after coming off overtime.
- The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last six games after coming off overtime.
- The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five night games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Penguins have won the first period in each of their last six games against the Sabres after coming off overtime.
Why the Buffalo Sabres will win
- The underdogs have won six of the Penguins’ last seven games at PPG Paints Arena.
- The Penguins have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Penguins’ last seven games at PPG Paints Arena.
- The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight Wednesday games as favorites.
- The Sabres have won the second period in each of their last four games.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Sabres’ last seven games as road underdogs against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Penguins’ last six games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Eight of the last nine Wednesday night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the last 10 games between the Sabres and Penguins.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last seven road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts
- Rickard Rakell has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances with the Penguins as favorites against the Sabres.
- Erik Karlsson has recorded at least one point in each of his last 11 home appearances against the Sabres.
- Erik Karlsson has recorded at least one assist in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against the Sabres.
Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts
- Tage Thompson has scored a goal in each of the Sabres’ last six games.
- Ryan McLeod has recorded at least one point in each of the Sabres’ last seven road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances in road games.
Sabres vs Penguins Prediction
Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings and their last three meetings have gone over the total.
In this Sabres vs Penguins Prediction, the Penguins are coming as -116 home favorites. The Sabres have been atrocious on the road this season, with just one win in 8 road games, but have been playing good hockey lately, as they are 4-1 in their last 5 games. On the flip side, the Pens are 1-5 in their last 6 games and while they are better defensively, Buffalo has a better offense and I like them as road dogs in this spot. Take the Sabres on the moneyline on the road for plus money.