Bruins vs Penguins Prediction 11/5/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Bruins vs Penguins Prediction

In this Bruins vs Penguins Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. The Bruins have been the far better team this season, having almost twice as many points as the Penguins and have been in far better form lately, as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games, while the Penguins have been struggling with a 2-7 record in their last 9 games. The Bruins are better both offensively and defensively and have a better power play and goaltending, as both their goalies have been excellent this season. They also have an excellent history against the Penguins in recent years, so I expect them to get the job done on the road. Take the Bruins on the moneyline in this one.

The Bruins are 6-2 in their 8 meetings against the Penguins and are 4-1 in their last 5 visits in Pittsburgh. Under is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins have 12 points this season with a 5-8-2 record and a 4-2-1 home record. They are 6-9 ATS and 9-6 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-3 home loss against the Golden Knights and will face the Kings and Ducks next.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.20 goals per game with 28.0 shots on goal per game and are scoring 18.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.40 goals per game on 27.7 shots on goal per game and are killing 82.1% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 100 total penalty minutes this season.

Erik Karlsson leads the Penguins with 16 points, adding a team-high 13 assists, while Evgeni Malkin leads the team in goals with 6 with 27 shots on goal. Arturs Silovs is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 5-4-1 record, with 2.98 GAA and .888 SV%. Sergei Murashov is the backup goalie and he has a 0-4-1 record, with 3.83 GAA and .871 SV%.

Injury Report:

Evgeni Malkin — OUT, est. return Nov 5
Elmer Soderblom — IR, est. return Nov 14
Bryan Rust — IR, est. return Dec 5
Trevor van Riemsdyk — IR, est. return Nov 5
Ryan Graves — IR, est. return Nov 28

Boston Bruins Preview

The Bruins have 23 points this season with a 11-4-1 record and a 4-3-1 road record. They are 11-5 ATS and 6-10 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-2 shootout home win against the Golden Knights and will face the Panthers and Canadiens next.

Offensively, the Bruins are averaging 3.56 goals per game with 26.3 shots on goal per game and are scoring 20.0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.38 goals per game on 28.0 shots on goal per game and are killing 76.4% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 200 total penalty minutes this season.

David Pastrnak leads the Bruins with 20 points, adding a team-high 8 goals with 57 shots on goal and a team-high 12 assists. Jeremy Swayman is the starting goalie for the Bruins, and he has a 8-3-1 record, with 2.31 GAA and .913 SV%. Michael DiPietro is the backup goalie and he has a 3-1-0 record, with 2.26 GAA and .929 SV%.

Injury Report:

Matthew Poitras — Day-To-Day, est. return Nov 5

Boston Bruins @ Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends: November 5, 2026

 

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Penguins have won each of their last six home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Bruins have lost eight of their last nine road games after coming off overtime.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The favorites have won the third period in six of the Bruins’ last seven games.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

• The Penguins have lost four of their last five games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Bruins have won three of their last four games as road underdogs against the Penguins.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Penguins’ last 10 games at PPG Paints Arena.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as home favorites.
• The Bruins have won the first period in seven of their last eight night games after coming off overtime.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Bruins’ last eight night games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Penguins’ last eight games at PPG Paints Arena following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last six games following a shootout loss.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last three games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Rickard Rakell has scored a goal in five of the Penguins’ last six games.
• Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances with the Penguins as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Nicholas Robertson has recorded 15 career hits against the Bruins – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

• Pavel Zacha has scored at least one goal in each of his last five appearances with the Bruins as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Pavel Zacha has recorded at least one assist in four of the Bruins’ last five road games against the Penguins.
• Pavel Zacha has recorded 20 career assists against the Penguins – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pittsburgh Penguins have recorded the largest margin of victory in a road game this season (7-goals @ Flyers on September, 30).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 31st in the league in penalty minutes this season (100).
• The Boston Bruins rank T7th in the league for goals per game this season (3.56).
• The Boston Bruins rank 1st in the league in save percentage this season (.917).

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Bruins ML